NFL Week 10 predictions and preview notes: 4 “new” teams in playoff position, 6th rookie QB will start

Former Vol Marion Hobby – Dolphins assistant coach / Credit: Miami Dolphins media site

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Here’s the schedule for Week 10 of the 2019 NFL season.

My predicted winners are in bold.

Below that you’ll find a link to the latest list of University of Tennessee players, one-time Vols and other local players in the NFL listed.

You will also find a ton of great notes on this week’s games via the NFL’s Communications Department.

2018 Season Prediction Record: 167-100 (63%)
2019 Week 9 Prediction Record: 8-6 (57%)
2019 Season Prediction Record: 88-48 (65%)


NFL SCHEDULE, NOVEMBER 7, NOVEMBER 10-11
(All times Eastern)

Thursday, November 7
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders – 8:20 PM ET (FOX/NFLN/Amazon)

Sunday, November 10
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears – 1:00 PM ET (CBS)
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals – 1:00 PM ET (CBS)
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns – 1:00 PM ET (CBS)
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints – 1:00 PM ET (FOX)
New York Giants at New York Jets – 1:00 PM ET (FOX)
Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 1:00 PM ET (FOX)
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans – 1:00 PM ET (CBS)
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts – 4:05 PM ET (CBS)
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers – 4:25 PM ET (FOX)
Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers – 4:25 PM ET (FOX)
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys – 8:20 PM ET (NBC)

Monday, November 11
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers – 8:15 PM ET (ESPN)


NFC WEST BATTLE ON MONDAY NIGHT HIGHLIGHTS WEEK 10

To help celebrate the NFL’s 100th season, each week will feature an NFL 100 Game of the Week. Each game is a nod to a momentous game played, a fierce rivalry that spans decades, a matchup of original teams and/or a game in which history was made . The NFL has designated Sunday’s ATLANTA FALCONSNEW ORLEANS SAINTS matchup as the NFL100 Game of the Week because the contest is a nod to the momentous 2006 Saints home-opener, when the team sparked the resurgence of a community devastated by Hurricane Katrina. In an electrifying moment at the Superdome on September 25, 2006, STEVE GLEASON blocked a first-quarter punt and CURTIS DELOATCH recovered the ball in the end zone, an uplifting initial score in the city’s first regular-season game since December 26, 2004. Buoyed by the win, the 3-0 Saints advanced to the NFC Championship game, and three years later won the Super Bowl. The game also marked the first home contest in the New Orleans career of the NFL’s all-time passing-yards leader, DREW BREES.

 

HOPE SPRINGS ETERNAL: Through the first nine weeks of the 2019 season, four teams – the BUFFALO BILLS (6-2), GREEN BAY PACKERS (7-2), MINNESOTA VIKINGS (6-3) and SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (8-0) – are in playoff position after missing the postseason a year ago. From 1990-2018 – a streak of 29 consecutive years – at least four teams have qualified for the playoffs in every season that were not in the postseason the year before. In 2018, seven of the 12 playoff teams missed the postseason the year before.

DIVISION-WINNING REBOUNDS: The NFL in 2002 expanded to 32 teams and realigned into eight divisions. Since that time, at least two teams have won their divisions the season after missing the playoffs in 15 of the past 16 years. Heading into Week 10, two teams – GREEN BAY in the NFC North and SAN FRANCISCO in the NFC West – lead their respective divisions after missing the postseason in 2018.

Teams to win their divisions a season after missing the playoffs over the last 16 seasons:

SEASON NEW DIVISION WINNERS AFTER MISSING POSTSEASON THE PRIOR SEASON
2018 Baltimore, Chicago*, Dallas, Houston*
2017 Jacksonville*, Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans, Minnesota, Philadelphia*
2016 Atlanta, Dallas*
2015 Houston, Minnesota, Washington*
2014 Dallas, Pittsburgh
2013 Carolina*, Philadelphia*
2012 Washington*
2011 Denver*, Houston*, New York Giants, San Francisco
2010 Atlanta, Chicago, Kansas City*, Pittsburgh, Seattle
2009 Cincinnati, Dallas, New England, New Orleans*
2008 Arizona, Carolina, Miami*, Minnesota
2007 Green Bay, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay*
2006 Baltimore*, New Orleans*, Philadelphia*, San Diego Chargers
2005 Chicago*, Cincinnati, New York Giants, Tampa Bay*
2004 Atlanta*, Pittsburgh, San Diego*
2003 Baltimore, Carolina*, Kansas City*, New England, St. Louis Rams
*Worst to first

SEVEN-WIN SUPERLATIVES: Entering Week 10, five teams – the GREEN BAY PACKERS (7-2), NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (8-1), NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (7-1), SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (8-0) and SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-2) – have at least seven wins, the most through the first nine weeks since the 1990 season (five teams). In total, 10 teams have at least six victories, the most through the first nine weeks of a season since 1986 (11 teams).

NINERS REMAIN UNBLEMISHED, SEAHAWKS UP NEXT: For the first time in NFL history, the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (8-0) are the league’s last remaining undefeated team at least eight games into a season. San Francisco, which finished last season 4-12 and selected DL NICK BOSA with the second-overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft, is off to its best start since opening 10-0 in 1990. This week, the 49ers host a divisional contest with key playoff implications against the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-2) on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN).

  • The Seahawks-49ers matchup is the first meeting between divisional opponents that have combined for two or fewer losses in Week 10 or later since November 17, 2013, when Denver (8-1) hosted Kansas City (9-0) in an AFC West showdown.
  • San Francisco is the second team in NFL history to finish with a winning percentage of .250 or below and rebound to win its first eight games of the following season. In 2013, the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS opened 9-0 after going 2-14 (.125) in the 2012 season.
  • Last week in the Seahawks’ 40-34 overtime victory against Tampa Bay, Seattle quarterback RUSSELL WILSON notched his 90th win as a starter, including the postseason. On Monday night, he can surpass BEN ROEHTLISBERGER (90) for second-most quarterback wins over his first eight seasons in the Super Bowl era. Only TOM BRADY (100) had more.
  • Including the 49ers’ berth in Super Bowl XLVII after the 2012 season, the NFC West has produced four of the last seven NFC Super Bowl representatives. Seattle and San Francisco accounted for three of those appearances, while the LOS ANGELES RAMS were the latest division entry in Super Bowl LIII last season. Since the beginning of that 2012 season, no other division has a better overall winning percentage.

The divisions with the best overall winning percentages since 2012:

DIVISION W L T PCT
NFC West 258 219 5 .540
NFC North 247 230 5 .518
AFC West 249 234 0 .516
AFC East 247 234 0 .514

AFTER THE BYE: A season-high six NFL teams are on byes during Week 10, and every club will have taken its week off by the end of Week 12. On Sunday, two teams coming off their byes meet in an NFC South clash when the ATLANTA FALCONS travel to play the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (1:00 PM ET, FOX). Since the beginning of the 2011 season, only the BALTIMORE RAVENS, fresh off a post-bye win over the Patriots in Week 9, have a better record after the bye.

The NFL teams with the best winning percentages in the game following the bye since 2011:​

TEAM W L T PCT
Baltimore Ravens 7 2 0 .778
Atlanta Falcons 6 2 0 .750
Denver Broncos 6 2 0 .750
Houston Texans 6 2 0 .750
New Orleans Saints 6 2 0 .750
Buffalo Bills 6 3 0 .667
Detroit Lions 6 3 0 .667
Indianapolis Colts 6 3 0 .667
Pittsburgh Steelers 6 3 0 .667

ANOTHER ROOKIE QUARTERBACK MAKES STARTING DEBUT: On Sunday when the BALTIMORE RAVENS meet the CINCINNATI BENGALS (1:00 PM ET, CBS), the Ravens (6-2) have an opportunity to match their best start in franchise history (7-2 in both 2006 and 2012). On the other sideline, quarterback RYAN FINLEY will make his first NFL start. Finley will become the sixth rookie to make his starting debut this season, joining Arizona’s KYLER MURRAY, Jacksonville’s GARDNER MINSHEW, Pittsburgh’s DEVLIN HODGES, the New York Giants’ DANIEL JONES and Washington’s DWAYNE HASKINS.

Through the first nine weeks, 110 of 135 overall games (81.5 percent) have featured at least one quarterback under the age of 27, the most at this point in a season in league history. In total, quarterbacks under age 27 have started 146 games and recorded 76 wins (52.1 percent), both the most starts and wins by quarterbacks under the age of 27 through the first nine weeks of a season since at least 1970.

MOST GAMES STARTED BY QBS

UNDER AGE 27, THROUGH WEEK 9

  MOST WINS BY STARTING QBS UNDER AGE 27, THROUGH WEEK 9
SEASON GAMES   SEASON WINS
2019 146   2019 76
1987 126   1984 64
2013 126   2013 63

Find more of my broadcasting work at VinceSports.net

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