Week 3 SEC football score predictions, analysis; Vols/Dawgs breakdown

Missouri offensive lineman Xavier Delgado (72) and Tennessee linebacker Kivon Bennett (95) in the second quarter during a game between Tennessee and Missouri at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tenn. on Saturday, Oct. 3, 2020.

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Each week, I’ll share my predictions and info on SEC football games.

Below is broadcast info and analysis for Week 3 in the SEC.

These are straight-up winners only. The point spread is just as a barometer for how big of a favorite or underdog each team is.

2019 SEC Game Prediction Record: 103-20 (84%)
2020 SEC Week 2 Game Prediction Record: 6-1 (86%)
2020 SEC Season Prediction Record: 12-2 (86%)


SEC Week 3 Schedule

SATURDAY, October 10
South Carolina (0-2, 0-2 SEC) at Vanderbilt (0-2, 0-2 SEC)
Noon ET • SEC Network
Nashville, Tenn. • Vanderbilt Stadium (40,350)
Series: SC leads, 25-4
Last: SC, 24-7 (2019 in Columbia)
Sirius: 138 • XM: 381/190
Point Spread: South Carolina -13 ½
Vince’s View: SC has had its moments in the first two weeks but couldn’t get over the hump against better teams. The Gamecocks should (and better) cash this one in.
Score Prediction: South Carolina 27 Vanderbilt 13

Florida (2-0, 2-0 SEC) at Texas A&M (1-1, 1-1 SEC)
Noon ET • ESPN
College Station, Texas • Kyle Field (102,733)
Series: Tied, 2-2
Last: TAMU, 19-17 (2017 in Gainesville)
Sirius: 105/81 • XM: 962/81
Point Spread: Florida -6 ½
Vince’s View: This line has trending towards the Aggies and seems pretty low. The Kyles (QB Trask and TE Pitts) will have plenty of success at Kyle Field. Trask says he was named after Kyle Field. I’ll go with the Kyles and likely a little better UF defense this week.
Score Prediction: Florida 31 Texas A&M 17

LSU (1-1, 1-1 SEC) at Missouri (0-2, 0-2 SEC)
Noon ET • ESPN
Columbia, Mo. • Faurot Field/Memorial Stadium (62,621)
Series: Tied, 1-1
Last: LSU, 42-7 (2016 in Baton Rouge)
Sirius: 83 • XM: 381/83
Point Spread: LSU -20 ½
Vince’s View: This game was moved from Baton Rouge at night to Missouri in the morning, local time. Maybe LSU is a little sleepy to start, but the Baton Rouge Tigers are much better.
Score Prediction: LSU 38 Missouri 14

Tennessee (2-0, 2-0 SEC) at Georgia (2-0, 2-0 SEC)
3:30 pm ET • CBS
Athens, Ga. • Dooley Field at Sanford Stadium (92,746)
Series: UGA leads, 24-23-2
Last: UGA, 43-14 (2019 in Knoxville)
Sirius: 105/81 • XM: 191/81
Point Spread: Georgia -12 ½
Vince’s View: So much familiarity between the two programs with Cade Mays and coaches on both sides. This should be an old school game that may be even more of that with expected rain throughout. Line of scrimmage, turnovers, special teams, quarterback play are standard important factors that I believe apply. This one isn’t too complicated. Georgia’s elite defense against Tennessee’s elite offensive line will be fascinating to watch. I think Jim Chaney on offense will have some new wrinkles (misdirections, jet sweeps, Chandler and Gray in the game together finally and more) that they’ve held back for this game. Same for the Pruitt/Ansley defense. The two best games of Guarantano’s career both came on the road at Auburn and Missouri. UT has obviously won 8-straight, 6 consecutive in the SEC and 3 in a row on the road in the SEC. But, this is next level in competition, so I expected Georgia to score a late TD to separate and win a low-scoring game.
Score Prediction: Georgia 21 Tennessee 10

Arkansas (1-1, 1-1 SEC) at Auburn (1-1, 1-1 SEC)
4:00 pm ET • ESPN
Auburn, Ala. • Jordan-Hare Stadium (87,451)
Series: AU leads, 17-11-1
Last: AU, 51-10 (2019 in Fayetteville)
Sirius: 138 • XM: 386/190
Point Spread: Auburn -13 ½
Vince’s View: Boy does Auburn need a bounce back game. Maybe after the first two weeks, we should give Sam Pittman, Barry Odom and the Arkansas team some credit for getting better. The Razorbacks should be competitive, but Auburn pulls away at home.
Score Prediction: Auburn 34 Arkansas 20

Alabama (2-0, 2-0 SEC) at Ole Miss (1-1, 1-1 SEC)
7:30 pm ET • ESPN
Oxford, Miss. • Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (64,038)
Series: UA leads, 51-10-2
Last: UA, 59-31 (2019 in Tuscaloosa)
Sirius: 132/133 • XM: 192/203
Point Spread: Alabama -24
Vince’s View: Biggest question is if Ole Miss can score on Alabama. The Rebels won’t be able to stop or slow down the Bama passing game and offense.
Score Prediction: Alabama 56 Ole Miss 28

Mississippi State (1-1, 1-1 SEC) at Kentucky (0-2, 0-2 SEC)
7:30 pm ET • SEC Network
Lexington, Ky. • Kroger Field (61,000)
Series: MSU leads, 24-23
Last: MSU, 28-13 (2019 in Starkville)
Sirius: 81/138 • XM: 81/190
Point Spread: Kentucky -2
Vince’s View: UK has been disappointing in losing two winnable games. We know about the high and lows of Leach Ball at MSU. I’m not going to flush UK get, but if the Wildcats lose this game at home then you can pull the lever on Kentucky. I think this game will look like UK/OM last week.
Score Prediction: Kentucky 45 Mississippi State 42


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