Week 5 SEC football score predictions and why including UT/Bama

KNOXVILLE, TN – OCTOBER 17, 2020 – Linebacker Henry To’o To’o #11 of the Tennessee Volunteers during the game between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Tennessee Volunteers at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, TN. Photo By Andrew Ferguson/Tennessee Athletics

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Each week, I’ll share my predictions and info on SEC football games.

Below is broadcast info and analysis for Week 5 in the SEC.

These are straight-up winners only. The point spread is just as a barometer for how big of a favorite or underdog each team is.

2020 SEC Week 3 Game Prediction Record: 3-2 (60%)
2020 SEC Season Prediction Record: 20-6 (77%)
2019 SEC Game Prediction Record: 103-20 (84%)


Auburn (2-2, 2-2 SEC) at Ole Miss (1-3, 1-3 SEC)
12 p.m. ET • SEC Network
Oxford, Miss. • Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (64,038)
Series: AU leads, 33-10
Last: AU, 20-14 (2019 in Auburn)
Sirius: 133/136 • XM: 191/190
Point Spread: Auburn -3 ½
Vince’s View: Boy, Auburn is a concern to me. I’ve picked Auburn being upset (SC) and Ole Miss pulling an upset (UK) so far this season. There’s at least one upset a week in the SEC, it seems like. Because of the early start time that tends to produce a sleepy Auburn performance, and Ole Miss’ offensive firepower, I think the Rebels get the home win.
Score Prediction: Ole Miss 31 Auburn 30

Alabama (4-0, 4-0 SEC) at Tennessee (2-2, 2-2 SEC)
3:30 p.m. ET • CBS
Knoxville, Tenn. • Neyland Stadium (102,455)
Series: UA leads, 56-38-7
Last: UA, 35-13 (2019 in Tuscaloosa)
Sirius:132/133 • XM: 192/191
Point Spread: …Alabama -22
Vince’s View: It sounds like the Vols seniors addressed the team this week to fix this season now like last season based on my conversation with WR Brandon Johnson. Whoever’s at QB for UT has to protect the football and the offensive line has to play like it’s littered with 5-stars, like it is, in order for UT to have any chance of keeping it close. Even close games have been a rarity in the Saban era in this series. Talent gap, how the two teams are playing, QB mismatch, the streak…don’t really need to continue, but I could.
Score Prediction: Alabama 45 Tennessee 17

Kentucky (2-2, 2-2 SEC) at Missouri (1-2, 1-2 SEC)
4 p.m. ET • SEC Network
Columbia, Mo. • Faurot Field (62,621)
Series: UK leads, 7-3
Last: UK, 29-7 (2019 in Lexington)
Sirius: 136 • XM: 385/190
Point Spread: Kentucky -3 ½
Vince’s View: Little worried about a ‘Cats letdown after embarrassing Tennessee last week. If I had more faith in Mizzou, I’d pick UK to go down. So much for that.
Score Prediction: Kentucky 28 Missouri 23

South Carolina (2-2, 2-2 SEC) at LSU (1-2, 1-2 SEC)
7 p.m. ET • ESPN
Baton Rouge, La. • Tiger Stadium (102,321)
Series: LSU leads, 18-2-1
Last: LSU, 45-24 (2015 in Baton Rouge)
Sirius: 136 • XM: 392/190
Point Spread: LSU -5
Vince’s View: I picked SC’s upset of Auburn last week. I felt that. I don’t feel back-to-back upsets and three straight wins. New QB at LSU due to injury as true freshman TJ Finley starts for the Tigers. That could be dicey if he’s not ready. I think LSU’s defense will be improved and make enough plays to win.
Score Prediction: LSU 27 South Carolina 20

Open: Arkansas (2-2, 2-2 SEC); Florida (2-1, 2-1 SEC); Georgia (3-1, 3-1 SEC); Mississippi State (1-3, 1-3 SEC); Texas A&M (3-1, 3-1 SEC); Vanderbilt (0-3, 0-3 SEC)

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