By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports
Each week I’ll bring you this week’s NFL schedule with my predictions followed by some great notes and stats directly from the National Football League Communications Department.
Our Sports Animal NFL programming for Week 10
(Sun) 10am – 12:30pm: The NFL Report with John Wilkerson and two rotating Sports Animal hosts
(Sun) 12:30pm – Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (Sports Animal)
(Thu) 7:30pm – Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (News Talk 98.7)
WEEK 10 NFL SCHEDULE
THURSDAY, SUNDAY & MONDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 15-16
(All times Eastern)
Thursday, November 12
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans 8:20 PM FOX/NFLN/Amazon
Sunday, November 15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers 1:00 PM FOX
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns 1:00 PM FOX
Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions 1:00 PM FOX
Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers 1:00 PM FOX
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants 1:00 PM FOX
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals 4:05 PM CBS
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders 4:05 PM CBS
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins 4:05 PM CBS
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams 4:25 PM FOX
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints 4:25 PM FOX
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25 PM FOX
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots 8:20 PM NBC
Monday, November 16
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears 8:15 PM ESPN
Week 10 Byes: Atlanta Falcons, Dallas Cowboys, Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets
Vince’s View: I certainly considered picking the Bengals to upset the Steelers, but my rule this late in the year is to never pick against unbeaten teams or winless teams. It’s tempting to be the one who “called it” but I’ll play the percentages over bragging over one game. Bills at Cardinals might be my favorite game of the weekend.
Week 9 Prediction Record: 8-6 (57%)
Season Record: 90-43 (68%)
FANTASTIC FINISHES, FASCINATING PLAYERS
HEADLINE SEASON AS NFL ROLLS INTO WEEK 10
Alex, we’ll take “Historic NFL Seasons” for $1,000.
Answer: In the first half of this season, the National Football League produced its most touchdowns, closest games, most thrilling comebacks and largest crop of budding superstars in recent memory.
What is 2020?
COMEBACK NATION: Last week, the PITTSBURGH STEELERS (8-0) overcame a 13-point deficit to win and remain the NFL’s only undefeated team, continuing their best start in franchise history. The 2020 NFL season joins 2015 as the only seasons in which a team has overcome a deficit of at least 13 points to win in each of the first nine weeks in NFL history.
DOUBLE-DIGIT DEFICITS: Three teams – the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (11 points), NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (10 points) and PITTSBURGH STEELERS (13 points) – overcame a deficit of at least 10 points to win in Week 9. There have been 29 games in which a team has overcome a deficit of at least 10 points to win this season, the second-most such games through Week 9 in NFL history. Only the 1987 season (30 games) had more.
PRODIGIES FACE OFF IN MIAMI: Two of the top selections in the 2020 NFL Draft will be under center when the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS travel to meet the MIAMI DOLPHINS on Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS).
- JUSTIN HERBERT, selected sixth overall, has passed for 2,146 yards and 17 touchdowns, respectively the second- and fourth-most totals by a player over his first seven games in NFL history. Herbert, who plays his eighth game on Sunday, needs 354 passing yards for 2,500, and three touchdown passes to reach 20. In NFL history, only DESHAUN WATSON, PATRICK MAHOMES and Pro Football Hall of Famer KURT WARNER have reached 20 touchdown passes in their first eight games. Only Mahomes has reached 2,500 passing yards in his first eight games.
- TUA TAGOVAILOA, selected fifth overall, has opened his NFL career with victories in each of his first two starts. Last week at Arizona, Tagovailoa orchestrated two fourth-quarter scoring drives, including a game-tying, 10-play, 93-yard touchdown march, to lead the Dolphins to a come-from-behind, 34-31 win.
- Since 1967, when the NFL and AFL began selecting players in the same draft, Sunday’s meeting is only the seventh NFL game involving rookie starting quarterbacks both taken among the top-six selections.
The games featuring rookie starting quarterbacks both selected among the top-six overall selections since 1967:
|Nov. 7, 1971||Dan Pastorini (3)||Houston Oilers||Jim Plunkett (1)||New England||NE, 28-20|
|Sept. 19, 1993||Rick Mirer (2)||Seattle||Drew Bledsoe (1)||New England||SEA, 17-14|
|Oct. 4, 1998||Ryan Leaf (2)||San Diego Chargers||Peyton Manning (1)||Indianapolis||IND, 17-12|
|Oct. 10, 1999||Akili Smith (3)||Cincinnati||Tim Couch (1)||Cleveland||CIN, 18-17|
|Sept. 13, 2015||Marcus Mariota (2)||Tennessee||Jameis Winston (1)||Tampa Bay||TEN, 42-14|
|Oct. 20, 2019||Kyler Murray (1)||Arizona||Daniel Jones (6)||N.Y. Giants||ARI, 27-21|
|Nov. 15, 2020||Justin Herbert (6)||L.A. Chargers||Tua Tagovailoa (5)||Miami||???|
The Chargers own the NFL’s No. 2 offense, producing 420.0 total yards per game, while the Dolphins are averaging 20.1 points allowed per game, tied with Pittsburgh for fourth-fewest in the NFL.
- 1 FACES NFL’S LONE UNDEFEATED TEAM: The other rookie quarterback selected in the top six, No. 1 overall pickJOE BURROW, leads the Bengals out of their bye week and into Pittsburgh on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX).
- Burrow has five games with at least 300 passing yards, tied with DANIEL JONES (2019) and KYLER MURRAY (2019) for the second-most 300-yard games by a rookie quarterback in NFL history. Only ANDREW LUCK (six games in 2012) had more.
- In his last game, a 31-20 win over Tennessee in Week 8, Burrow completed 26 of 37 attempts (70.3 percent) for 249 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions for a 106.7 rating. Burrow ranks third in the NFL with 221 completions, the most by a player in his first eight career games in NFL history. He also has at least 25 completions in six games this season, tied with KYLER MURRAY (six games in 2019) for the second-most such games by a rookie in NFL history. Only CARSON WENTZ (seven games in 2016) had more.
- In Week 7, Burrow became the first rookie quarterback in NFL history with at least 400 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown in a single game.
- Pittsburgh wide receiver CHASE CLAYPOOL, who led the team with eight receptions in Week 9 as the Steelers overcame a 13-point deficit to defeat Dallas, 24-19, is tied for the NFL lead among rookies with seven touchdowns (five receiving, two rushing). Claypool helped the Steelers advance to 8-0 for the first time in franchise history.
DYNAMIC OFFENSES ON DISPLAY IN DESERT: The ARIZONA CARDINALS, who rank first in the NFL with 422.0 yards per game, host the BUFFALO BILLS on Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS).
- Arizona quarterback KYLER MURRAY passed for 283 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions for a 150.5 rating and added a career-high 106 rushing yards with one rushing touchdown in Week 9. Murray, who had three touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown in Week 7 and a bye in Week 8, is the fourth quarterback in the Super Bowl era with at least three touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown in consecutive games, joining DAUNTE CULPEPPER (Weeks 15 and 16, 2000), Pro Football Hall of Famer JOE MONTANA (Weeks 9 and 10, 1989) and DAK PRESCOTT (Weeks 5 and 7, 2017).
- Murray, who had 544 rushing yards as a rookie in 2019, has 543 rushing yards this season and joins JOSH ALLEN (2018-19), LAMAR JACKSON (2018-19) and CAM NEWTON (2011-12) as the only quarterbacks with at least 500 rushing yards in each of their first two seasons in NFL history.
- Buffalo quarterback JOSH ALLEN passed for 415 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions for a 138.5 rating and added a rushing touchdown in the Bills’ 44-34 win over Seattle in Week 9. Allen has four career games with at least three passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown, tied with JACK KEMP (four games) for the most such games by a player in his first three seasons in league annals.
- Buffalo wide receiver STEFON DIGGS leads the NFL in both receptions (63) and receiving yards (813).
RODGERS-ADAMS AT MAXIMUM EFFICIENCY: Quarterback AARON RODGERS, who enters Week 10 with the highest career passer rating (103.1) among qualified passers in NFL history (minimum 1,500 attempts), leads the Packers against Jacksonville on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, FOX).
- Rodgers is one of two players with at least 24 touchdown passes and two-or-fewer interceptions over his team’s first eight games of a season in NFL history, joining TOM BRADY (2007).
- Rodgers has 52 games with at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions, the third-most in the Super Bowl era, having surpassed PEYTON MANNING (51) last week. Only Brady (60) and DREW BREES (55) have more such games.
- Last week, wide receiver DAVANTE ADAMS became the first player to reach 50 receptions, 600 receiving yards and eight touchdown catches in his first six games of a season in NFL history. Adams, who has 53 receptions for 675 yards and eight touchdown catches this year, also has four games of at least 150 receiving yards since the beginning of 2019, more than any player.
- Jacksonville rookie quarterback JAKE LUTON last week passed for 304 yards and one touchdown – a 73-yard strike to DJ CHARK on his second NFL pass – and later ran for a touchdown in his first NFL start. Luton became the fourth player in NFL history to pass for at least 300 yards and have both a passing and rushing touchdown in his first NFL game.
The players with at least 300 passing yards, one passing touchdown and one rushing touchdown in their first NFL games in league history:
|PLAYER||TEAM||DATE||PASSING YARDS||PASSING TDS||RUSHING TDs|
|Jake Luton||Jacksonville||Nov. 8, 2020||304||1||1|
|Justin Herbert||L.A. Chargers||Sept. 20, 2020||311||1||1|
|Cam Newton||Carolina||Sept. 11, 2011||422||2||1|
|Otto GrahamHOF||Cleveland||Sept. 16, 1950||346||3||1|
CLOSE GAMES ARE PREVALENT: This past week, 11 of 14 games were within one score (eight points) in the fourth quarter. Overall this season, nearly 70 percent of NFL contests (92 of 133) have featured a fourth-quarter scoreboard separated by eight-or-fewer points. Only three prior seasons have ever had more games within one score in the fourth quarter through nine weeks.
The seasons with the most games within eight points in the fourth quarter through nine weeks:
Eight of the nine games played by the CHICAGO BEARS this season have been within one score in the fourth quarter. The Bears, who are 5-3 in those games, host NFC North rival Minnesota on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN).
- Minnesota running back DALVIN COOK totaled a career-high 252 scrimmage yards (206 rushing, 46 receiving) and two rushing touchdowns in the Vikings’ Week 9 win.
- Cook, who had 226 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns (three rushing, one receiving) in Week 8, is the third player in league annals with at least 225 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns in consecutive games, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer JIM BROWN (1963) and DEUCE MCALLISTER (2003).
- Cook is the sixth player in NFL history and the first since Pro Football Hall of Famer EMMITT SMITH (1994) with a rushing touchdown in each of his first seven games of a season.
- Cook has 12 rushing touchdowns this season, tied for the fourth-most by a player in his first seven games of a season in league annals. Only Pro Football Hall of Famers JIM BROWN (14 rushing touchdowns in 1958) and EMMITT SMITH (13 rushing touchdowns in 1995) as well as PRIEST HOLMES (13 rushing touchdowns in 2004) had more.
- Minnesota wide receiver JUSTIN JEFFERSON leads all rookies with 627 receiving yards this season.
POINTS FACTORIES: The BALTIMORE RAVENS have scored at least 20 points in 31 consecutive regular-season games, surpassing the 2012-14 DENVER BRONCOS (30 games) for the longest such streak in NFL history.
- That stretch parallels the early career of Baltimore quarterback LAMAR JACKSON, who last week improved to 25-5 (.833) over his first 30 NFL starts, tying the best mark by a starting quarterback in the Super Bowl era, held by Pro Football Hall of Famer DAN MARINO (also 25-5, .833). Jackson and the Ravens are back in primetime this week, at New England on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC).
- Jackson has 5,841 passing yards and 2,370 rushing yards in his career. He needs 130 more rushing yards to become the first player with at least 5,000 passing yards and 2,500 rushing yards through his first three seasons in NFL history. Also on Sunday, with 31 rushing yards, Jackson will join CAM NEWTON (first five seasons) as the only quarterbacks to rush for at least 500 yards in each of their first three seasons.
The SEATTLE SEAHAWKS face an NFC West showdown on Sunday at the LOS ANGELES RAMS (4:25 PM ET, FOX). Seattle, which leads the NFL with 34.3 points per game after scoring 34 points in Week 9, became the sixth team to score at least 25 points in each of its first eight games of a season in NFL history. The Seahawks joined the 2018 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (16 games), 2013 DENVER BRONCOS (13), 2015 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (nine), 2007 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (eight) and 2000 ST. LOUIS RAMS (eight).
This season continues to rank as the highest-scoring campaign in NFL history. Through nine weeks, no other season has produced more points (6,737) or touchdowns (778) than 2020.
WATSON & WATT HEAD TO CLEVELAND: Houston quarterback DESHAUN WATSON has an opportunity to join elite company on Sunday in Cleveland (1:00 PM ET, FOX). He needs at least 275 passing yards and a passer rating of 105-or-higher to join AARON RODGERS as the only players in NFL history to achieve those numbers in six consecutive games during a season. Rodgers authored his stretch over seven straight games in 2011.
- Watson is the fifth quarterback with at least 275 passing yards and a passer rating of 105-or-higher in five consecutive games within a season, joining Rodgers (seven games in 2011), DREW BREES (five in 2011), PEYTON MANNING (five in 2012 and five in 2013) and Pro Football Hall of Famer STEVE YOUNG (five in 1994).
- Teammate J.J. WATT, playing his 120th career game last week, forced a fumble and registered his 100th career sack in the Texans’ win. He became the fourth-fastest player to reach 100 career sacks since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic. Only Pro Football Hall of Famers REGGIE WHITE (96 games) and BRUCE SMITH (114) as well as DEMARCUS WARE (113) reached the mark in fewer games since 1982.
- Meanwhile, Cleveland’s MYLES GARRETT this season has nine sacks, tied with the Rams’ AARON DONALD for the NFL lead. Garrett, who turns 25 in December, needs one sack to reach three consecutive seasons with 10-or-more sacks and become just the fifth player since 1982 to achieve that distinction under the age of 25. He would join ROBERT QUINN (2012-14), SHAWNE MERRIMAN (2005-07), DWIGHT FREENEY (2002-04) and Pro Football Hall of Famer DERRICK THOMAS (1989-91).
TOP 10 SHOWDOWN: Los Angeles Chargers rookie quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT, the No. 6 overall selection in the 2020 NFL Draft, and Miami rookie quarterback TUA TAGOVAILOA, the No. 5 overall selection, will face off on Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS) for the first time in their careers.
Herbert leads all rookies with 17 touchdown passes and ranks second among rookies with 2,146 passing yards this season. With at least two touchdown passes on Sunday, he will become the first rookie with at least two touchdown passes in six consecutive games in NFL history.
Tagovailoa has passed for 341 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions for a 103.8 passer rating in his first two career starts. With a win, he will become the first rookie quarterback since LAMAR JACKSON in 2018 to win his first three career starts.
Below is a look at the most combined passing yards in a matchup featuring two rookie starting quarterbacks each selected in the top 10 of the NFL Draft in the common-draft era:
|DATE||PLAYER (SELECTION)||PASS YARDS||PLAYER (SELECTION)||PASS YARDS||COMBINED PASS YARDS|
|Nov. 4, 2012||Andrew Luck (No. 1)||433||Ryan Tannehill (No. 8)||290||723|
|Sept. 13, 2015||Jameis Winston (No. 1)||210||Marcus Mariota (No. 2)||209||419|
|Nov. 7, 1971||Dan Pastorini (No. 3)||260||Jim Plunkett (No. 1)||157||417|
|Oct. 10, 1999||Akili Smith (No. 3)||221||Tim Couch (No. 1)||164||385|
|Dec. 9, 2018||Josh Allen (No. 7)||206||Sam Darnold (No. 3)||170||376|
Miami has returned an opponent fumble for a touchdown in each of its last two games – a 36-yard return by defensive end SHAQ LAWSON in Week 9 and a 78-yard return by linebacker ANDREW VAN GINKEL in Week 8. Only two teams in league history have done so in three consecutive games within a single season: the 2019 BALTIMORE RAVENS and 1999 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS.
— NFL –
DUAL-THREAT IN THE DESERT: Arizona quarterback KYLER MURRAY enters Week 10 with 2,130 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes, while leading all quarterbacks with 543 rushing yards and tying for the lead among quarterbacks with eight rushing touchdowns. Last week, he became the fourth quarterback in the Super Bowl era with at least three touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown in consecutive games.
With a rushing touchdown on Sunday against Buffalo (4:05 PM ET, CBS), Murray will become the fourth quarterback with a rushing touchdown in at least five consecutive games in NFL history.
The quarterbacks with the most consecutive games with a rushing touchdown in NFL history:
|Johnny Lujack||Chicago Bears||1950||6|
|Tobin Rote||Green Bay||1956||5|
Murray has totaled 5,852 passing yards and 1,087 rushing yards in 24 career games. With 148 passing yards on Sunday, he will become the second quarterback with at least 6,000 passing yards and 1,000 rushing yards in his first 25 career games in NFL history, joining CAM NEWTON (6,194 passing yards, 1,060 rushing yards).
— NFL —
ALL IN ON ALLEN: Last week, Buffalo quarterback JOSH ALLEN passed for 415 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions for a 138.5 passer rating and added a rushing touchdown. It marked his fourth career game with at least three touchdown passes and a rushing touchdown, tied with JACK KEMP for the most such games by a player in his first three seasons in NFL history.
Allen has 19 touchdown passes and five rushing touchdowns this season. In 2019, Allen had 20 touchdown passes, while leading all quarterbacks with nine rushing touchdowns. With a touchdown pass on Sunday against Arizona (4:05 PM ET, CBS), Allen will become the third player with at least 20 touchdown passes and five rushing touchdowns in consecutive seasons in league history, joining DAK PRESCOTT (three consecutive seasons) and DESHAUN WATSON (two).
The players with at least 20 passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns in consecutive seasons in NFL history:
|Dak Prescott||Dallas||3 (2016-18)|
|Deshaun Watson||Houston||2 (2018-19)|
|*Has 19 passing touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns in 2020|
— NFL —
BALL SECURITY BALLERS: Kansas City quarterback PATRICK MAHOMES ranks second in the NFL with 25 touchdown passes, while Green Bay quarterback AARON RODGERS ranks third with 24. Mahomes, with one interception this season, and Rodgers, with two interceptions this season, are the only two quarterbacks in the league with at least 20 touchdown passes and fewer than five interceptions in 2020.
Last week, Mahomes became the sixth player to throw his 25th touchdown pass before throwing his third interception of a season in NFL history. Rodgers, who accomplished the feat in 2018, has a chance to do it again on Sunday and join TOM BRADY (2007 and 2016) as the only players in league history to do so in two seasons.
In Week 9, Rodgers passed for 305 yards and four touchdowns with zero interceptions for a 147.2 passer rating. It marked his third consecutive game with at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions.
If Rodgers records at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions on Sunday against Jacksonville (1:00 PM ET, FOX), it will mark the fifth time a player has done so in at least four consecutive games within a single season in NFL history. Having also accomplished the feat in 2014, Rodgers would become the first player to do so twice.
The players with at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions in the most consecutive games within a single season in NFL history:
|Tom Brady||New England||2007||4|
|Drew Brees||New Orleans||2019||4|
|Aaron Rodgers||Green Bay||2014||4|
|Aaron Rodgers||Green Bay||2020||3*|
— NFL —
TENNESSEE HOME COOKING: Since becoming the Tennessee starting quarterback in Week 7 of last season, RYAN TANNEHILL has passed for 29 touchdowns with three interceptions for a 122.4 passer rating in 11 games at Nissan Stadium. In each of those 11 games, Tannehill has recorded at least two touchdown passes.
With two touchdown passes against Indianapolis on Thursday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, FOX/NFLN/Amazon), Tannehill will have recorded at least two touchdown passes in 12 consecutive home games, tying Pro Football Hall of Famer KURT WARNER (1999-2000) for the fifth-longest streak in NFL history.
The players with at least two touchdown passes in the most consecutive home games with the same team in NFL history:
|Drew Brees||New Orleans||2011-13||21|
|Brett FavreHOF||Green Bay||1994-96||14|
|Aaron Rodgers||Green Bay||2014-15||13|
|Kurt WarnerHOF||St. Louis Rams||1999-2000||12|
— NFL —
DALVIN IS COOKING: Last week, Minnesota running back DALVIN COOK totaled a career-high 252 scrimmage yards (206 rushing, 46 receiving) and two rushing touchdowns. After recording 226 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns (three rushing, one receiving) in Week 8, Cook became the third player in league annals with at least 225 scrimmage yards and two-or-more touchdowns in consecutive games.
In seven games this season, Cook leads the NFL with 858 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns entering Week 10. With a rushing touchdown at Chicago on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN), he will become the fourth player with a rushing touchdown in each of his first eight games of a season in NFL history, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers LENNY MOORE (1964) and JOHN RIGGINS (1983), as well as GEORGE ROGERS (1986).
The players with a rushing touchdown in each of their first eight games of a season in NFL history:
|Lenny MooreHOF||Baltimore Colts||1964|
|*Has rushing touchdown in each of his first seven games|
Cook has recorded at least two rushing touchdowns in four of his first seven games this season. With at least two rushing touchdowns on Monday, he will become the fourth player to record at least two rushing touchdowns in five of his first eight games of a season in league annals, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers JIM BROWN (1958), TERRELL DAVIS (1998) and EMMITT SMITH (1995), as well as CHUCK MUNCIE (1981).
The players with at least two rushing touchdowns in five of their first eight games of a season in NFL history:
|Chuck Muncie||San Diego Chargers||1981||5|
|*In seven games|
— NFL –
MARCHING INTO RECORD BOOK: New Orleans wide receiver MICHAEL THOMAS has 478 receptions for 5,580 yards and 32 touchdowns in his five-year career.
With four receptions on Sunday against San Francisco (4:25 PM ET, FOX), Thomas will surpass JARVIS LANDRY (481 receptions) for the most receptions by a player in his first five seasons in NFL history.
The players with the most receptions in their first five seasons in NFL history:
|Jarvis Landry||Miami, Cleveland||481|
|Michael Thomas||New Orleans||478*|
|*In fifth season|
— NFL —