Vince’s View: NFL Week 5 Predictions and Game Notes; Titans at Commanders, London games continue

Vince’s View: NFL Week 5 Predictions and Game Notes; Titans at Commanders, London games continue

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Below is the game schedule with my Week 5 NFL game predictions. Winners straight-up are in bold. The line is my pick against the spread.

You’ll also see some tremendous notes on the games, teams and players provided by NFL Communications.

Listen to The NFL Report with John Wilkerson and two rotating Sports Animal hosts, including myself, every Sunday, 10am to 12:30pm ET on 99.1 The Sports Animal here in Knoxville and streaming here at 991TheSportsAnimal.com, the WNML app or on your smart speakers. We’ll break down all these games, review what’s happened, share injury news, fantasy advice and more. You can call or text the show at 865-656-9900.

2022 Week 4 Straight-Up: 12-4 (75%)
2022 Week 4 Against The Spread: 10-6 (63%)

2022 Season Straight-Up: 35-29 (55%)
2022 Season Against The Spread: 30-34 (47%)

2021 Season Straight-Up: 158-97 (62%)
2021 Season Against The Spread: 140-115 (55%)

WEEK 5 NFL SCHEDULE

(All times Eastern)

Thursday, October 6Indianapolis at Denver (-3)Prime Video8:15
Sunday, October 9New York Giants vs. Green Bay (London) (-8)NFLN9:30
(+14) Pittsburgh at BuffaloCBS1:00
(-1.5) Los Angeles Chargers at ClevelandCBS1:00
Houston at Jacksonville (-7)CBS1:00
Chicago at Minnesota (-7.5)FOX1:00
Detroit at New England (-3.5)FOX1:00
Seattle at New Orleans (-5)FOX1:00
(-3) Miami at New York JetsCBS1:00
(+10) Atlanta at Tampa BayFOX1:00
(-1) Tennessee at WashingtonCBS1:00
(-6.5) San Francisco at CarolinaCBS4:05
(-5.5) Philadelphia at ArizonaFOX4:25
Dallas at Los Angeles Rams (-5.5)FOX4:25
Cincinnati at Baltimore (3.5)NBC8:20
Monday, October 10Las Vegas at Kansas City (-7)ESPN8:15

They say competition makes you better. In the NFL, competition has taken the league’s excitement to an unprecedented level. As the league approaches the initial quarter pole of the 2022 season, consider this:

  • So far, 50 games have been within one score in the fourth quarter, the most through Week 4 in NFL history.
  • This past week, 15 of 16 games (93.8 percent) were within one score in the fourth quarter, the most in a single week in NFL history.
  • Through four weeks, 23 games have been decided by three points or fewer, and 31 have been decided by six points or fewer, both the most ever at this point in a season.

What could possibly be next?

The Starting 11 entering Week 5…

1. SPEAKING OF CLOSE GAMES: Both the NEW YORK GIANTS (3-1) and GREEN BAY PACKERS (3-1) have played well in close games this season. The two clubs, which face off at London’s Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday (9:30 AM ET, NFL Network), are each 2-0 in games decided by three points or less. The Packers (23.8 percent) and the Giants (29.4) also lead the league in third-down defense.

2. NUMBER OF THE WEEK – 3: The number of 1-3 teams that rebounded to earn playoff berths a season ago (NEW ENGLANDPHILADELPHIA and PITTSBURGH). Also in 2021, both KANSAS CITY and SAN FRANCISCO started 2-3, were last in their division standings after five weeks, and advanced to their respective conference championship games.

3. REGGIE WHITE WAS DOMINATING FOR THE EAGLES…in 1990, the last time every NFL team had at least one win or tie entering Week 5 (and the Minister of Defense was leading the league with six sacks). This week, PHILADELPHIA (4-0) is the NFL’s lone remaining undefeated team for the first time since 2004, when the Eagles started 7-0 en route to a berth in Super Bowl XXXIX.

4. SPOTLIGHT – INDIVIDUAL MATCHUPS: Over his career, Dallas guard ZACK MARTIN has more Pro Bowl selections (seven) than holding calls (five). Shortly before the Cowboys selected Martin 16th overall in the 2014 NFL Draft, the Rams chose defensive lineman AARON DONALD at No. 13. Since that Draft, Donald leads the NFL with 100 sacks. DALLAS (3-1) visits the LOS ANGELES RAMS (2-2) on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX).

  • When the Rams have the ball, COOPER KUPP will be on the same field with TREVON DIGGS. Since the beginning of last season, Kupp leads the NFL in receptions (187), receiving yards (2,349) and receiving touchdowns (19). Over the same period, Diggs leads the league with 13 interceptions.

5. SPOTLIGHT – TEAM MATCHUPSPITTSBURGH (1-3) and BUFFALO (3-1) – who clash Sunday at Highmark Stadium (1:00 PM ET, CBS) – deploy two of the NFL’s most opportunistic defenses. They’re tied for the league lead with seven interceptions apiece. In that game, quarterback KENNY PICKETT, the No. 20 overall selection in the 2022 NFL Draft, is expected to make his first NFL start. Pickett hails from New Jersey’s Ocean Township High School, which also produced PHIL VILLAPIANO, a Pro Bowl linebacker who played for the Raiders and Bills.

  • MIAMI (3-1) and the NEW YORK JETS (2-2) play Sunday at MetLife Stadium (1:00 PM ET, CBS). Each team’s respective head coach, MIKE MCDANIEL and ROBERT SALEH, came from the 49ers.
  • KANSAS CITY (3-1) hosts LAS VEGAS (1-3) on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN). Since PATRICK MAHOMES became the Chiefs’ starting quarterback at the beginning of the 2018 season, the team leads the NFL in wins (53), points (2,098) and third-down conversion percentage (49.2 percent).

6. STREAK SPEAK: The HOUSTON TEXANS (0-3-1) meet the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (2-2) on Sunday at TIAA Bank Field (1:00 PM ET, CBS). Houston has won eight straight over Jacksonville, tied for the NFL’s fourth-longest active winning streak over an opponent.  

7. DID YOU KNOW?: Including postseason, over his last six games, San Francisco safety TALANOA HUFANGA has scored two significant fourth-quarter touchdowns. In the 49ers’ 13-10 win at Green Bay during the Divisional playoffs, Hufanga returned a blocked punt 6 yards for a game-tying score with less than five minutes remaining. And in last week’s win, with the Rams driving in a one-score game, Hufanga returned an interception 52 yards for a touchdown with 6:27 left in the final stanza.

  • Coordinator DEMECO RYANS and his 49ers defense lead the NFL in scoring (11.5 points allowed per game) and are tied for the league lead in fewest yards allowed (234.5). SAN FRANCISCO (2-2) visits CAROLINA (1-3) on Sunday (4:05 PM ET, CBS).

8. UNDER-THE-RADAR STORYLINE: This season marks the 75th anniversary of a major milestone in league annals. In 1947, VIOLET BIDWILL became the first female owner in NFL history, taking over the Cardinals until she passed away in 1962. The year she became the franchise’s top executive, Pro Football Hall of Famer CHARLEY TRIPPI returned a punt 75 yards for a touchdown and ran 44 yards for another to lead the Cardinals to victory in the 1947 NFL Championship, over the Eagles. This week, PHILADELPHIA (4-0) travels to play ARIZONA (2-2) on Sunday at State Farm Stadium (4:25 PM ET, FOX). 

9. TREND TIME: The Bengals’ defense has allowed one touchdown over its last 31 opponent drives. The Ravens’ offense ranks third in the NFL with 29.8 points per game. CINCINNATI (2-2) travels to BALTIMORE (2-2) for an AFC North Showdown on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC).

10. THIS WEEK IN NFL HISTORY: Oct. 7, 1962 (60 years ago) – A pair of future Pro Football Hall of Famers prove pivotal in helping the Packers steal a win from the Lions. HERB ADDERLEY’s late 40-yard interception return sets up PAUL HORNUNG’s game-winning field goal with 33 seconds remaining, vaulting Green Bay to a 9-7 win. In a battle of the league’s lone remaining undefeated and untied teams, Hornung finishes with 37 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards and three field goals. Less than three months later, the Packers would knock off the NEW YORK GIANTS at Yankee Stadium in the 1962 NFL Championship, 16-7.

11. AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST: Washington rookie JAHAN DOTSON, tied with STEFON DIGGS for the NFL lead with four receiving touchdowns, serves as a Crucial Catch ambassador for the NFL and the American Cancer Society. The Commanders selected the wide receiver with the No. 16 overall choice in the 2022 NFL Draft.

  • Cancer also has touched the family of cornerback CALEB FARLEY, a Crucial Catch ambassador for the Titans. Farley was the No. 22 overall selection in the 2021 NFL Draft and is expected to see action for TENNESSEE (2-2) at WASHINGTON (1-3) on Sunday at FedExField (1:00 PM ET, CBS).
  • The NFL and the American Cancer Society teamed up to create Crucial Catch to help more people intercept cancer early, especially in communities with the greatest need. The five-year survival rate for many cancers is over 90 percent when detected early. Anyone can visit NFL.com/CrucialCatch or text “CATCH” to 635635 to find local cancer-screening centers and additional screening resources.

WINNING TEAMS IN LONDON: The GREEN BAY PACKERS (3-1) will become the 32nd team to play a regular-season international game when they face the NEW YORK GIANTS (3-1) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday (9:30 AM ET, NFL Network).

The Packers enter Week 5 with 785 regular-season wins in franchise history, tied with Chicago (785) for the most in NFL history, while the Giants rank third with 709. The Bears/Staleys franchise has had the most all-time regular season wins of any NFL team at the end of each of the league’s first 102 seasons.

This marks the sixth game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium since 2019. Four of the previous five matchups have been decided by seven points or fewer, and three of the matchups have featured the game-winning score inside of the final two minutes of the fourth quarter.

The Packers and Giants’ combined winning percentage of .750 (6-2) is the highest by two teams entering an international game in Week 4 or later all-time.

The highest combined winning percentage entering an international game in Week 4 or later in NFL history:

MATCHUPLOCATIONSEASONWIN PCT.RESULT
Green Bay Packers (3-1) vs.New York Giants (3-1)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium(London)Week 5,2022.750(6-2)???
Oakland Raiders (7-2) vs.Houston Texans (6-3)Estadio Azteca(Mexico City)Week 11,2016.722(13-5)OAK 27, HOU 20
Chicago Bears (3-1) vs.Oakland Raiders (2-2)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium(London)Week 5,2019.625(5-3)OAK 24,CHI 21
New England Patriots (7-2) vs.Oakland Raiders (4-5)Estadio Azteca(Mexico City)Week 11,2017.611(11-7)NE 33,OAK 8

— NFL —

REWRITING THE RECORD BOOK: Since taking over as Kansas City’s full-time starter in 2018, quarterback PATRICK MAHOMES leads the NFL with 32 games with at least 300 passing yards. Since entering the league in 2020, Los Angeles Chargers quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT leads the NFL with 19 games with at least 300 passing yards.

If Mahomes reaches least 300 passing yards against Las Vegas on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN), he would surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer DAN MARINO (32 games) for the most 300-yard games by a player in his first six seasons in NFL history. If Herbert eclipses 300 passing yards at Cleveland on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), he would surpass ANDREW LUCK (19 games) for the most 300-yard games by a player in his first three seasons all-time.

The players with the most games with at least 300 passing yards in their first six seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMGAMES 
Patrick MahomesKansas City32* 
Dan MarinoHOFMiami32 
Kurt WarnerHOFSt. Louis Rams30 
*In sixth season  

The players with the most games with at least 300 passing yards in their first three seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMGAMES 
Justin HerbertL.A. Chargers19* 
Andrew LuckIndianapolis19 
Patrick MahomesKansas City17 
Kurt WarnerHOFSt. Louis Rams17 
*In third season  

Herbert has also recorded at least 300 passing yards in seven consecutive road games and can join RICH GANNON (eight consecutive road games from 2001-02) as the only players ever with at least 300 passing yards in eight consecutive road games.

Mahomes was awarded AFC Offensive Player of the Week in Week 4 after recording 249 passing yards and three touchdown passes in Kansas City’s win. It marked his 49th-career game with multiple touchdown passes.

With two touchdown passes on Monday, Mahomes would tie Pro Football Hall of Famer PEYTON MANNING (50 games) for the second-most games with multiple touchdown passes by a player in his first six seasons in NFL history.  Only Marino (58 games) has more.

The players with the most games with at least two touchdown passes in their first six seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMGAMES 
Dan MarinoHOFMiami58 
Peyton ManningHOFIndianapolis50 
Patrick MahomesKansas City49* 
Matt RyanAtlanta49 
Russell WilsonSeattle49 
*In sixth season  

Entering Week 5, Herbert has recorded multiple touchdown passes in five of his past six games dating back to last season and has at least two touchdown passes in 25 of his first 36 career games. With at least two touchdown passes on Sunday, Herbert would tie Manning (26 games) for the third-most such games by a player in his first three seasons all-time. Only Marino (32 games) and Luck (28) have more.

The players with the most games with at least two touchdown passes in their first three seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMGAMES 
Dan MarinoHOFMiami32 
Andrew LuckIndianapolis28 
Peyton ManningHOFIndianapolis26 
Justin HerbertL.A. Chargers25* 
Derek CarrOakland Raiders25 
*In third season  

— NFL —

ALLEN THE END ZONE: Buffalo quarterback JOSH ALLEN ranks second in the NFL with 12 combined passing and rushing touchdowns (10 passing, two rushing) this season and has 146 combined passing and rushing touchdowns since entering the NFL in 2018, fourth-most among all players over that span.

When BUFFALO (3-1) hosts PITTSBURGH (1-3) on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), Allen needs two touchdowns to surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer PEYTON MANNING (147 touchdowns) for the fourth-most combined passing and rushing touchdowns by a player in his first five seasons in NFL history.

The players with the most combined passing and rushing touchdowns in their first five seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONSPASS TDsRUSH TDsTOTAL
Dan MarinoHOFMiami1983-871683171
Cam NewtonCarolina2011-1511743160
Patrick MahomesKansas City2017-211518159
Peyton ManningHOFIndianapolis1998-20021389147
Josh AllenBuffalo2018-2211333146*
Andrew LuckIndianapolis2012-1613214146
*In fifth season

— NFL —

DUAL THREATS IN THE DESERT: Since the beginning of the 2020 season, KYLER MURRAY leads all quarterbacks with 18 rushing touchdowns, while JALEN HURTS ranks tied for second with 17. The two are set to meet when the league’s last remaining undefeated team, PHILADELPHIA (4-0), travels to ARIZONA (2-2) on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX).

Last week, Murray recorded his 10th career game with at least two touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown, the second-most such games by a quarterback since he entered the NFL in 2019. With two touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown on Sunday, Murray can tie JOSH ALLEN (11 games) for the second-most such games by a quarterback in his first four seasons in NFL history. Only CAM NEWTON (12) has more. 

The players with the most games with at least two touchdown passes and one rushing touchdown in their first four seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONSGAMES
Cam NewtonCarolina2011-1412
Josh AllenBuffalo2018-2111
Kyler MurrayArizona2019-2210*
*In fourth season

Hurts, who is expected to make his 24th career start, needs one rushing touchdown to tie CAM NEWTON (18) for the most rushing touchdowns by a quarterback in his first 25 career starts all-time.

The quarterbacks with the most rushing touchdowns in their first 25 starts in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMRUSHING TDs
Cam NewtonCarolina18
Josh AllenBuffalo17
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia17*
*In 23 starts

— NFL —

SUPER COOPER: Los Angeles Rams wide receiver COOPER KUPP leads the NFL with 42 receptions this season.

When the LOS ANGELES RAMS (2-2) host the DALLAS COWBOYS (3-1) on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, FOX), Kupp needs six receptions to surpass T.J. HOUSHMANDZADEH (47 receptions in 2007) and ADAM THIELEN (47 in 2018) for the most receptions by a player in his team’s first five games of a season all-time.

The players with the most receptions in their team’s first five games of a season in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONRECEPTIONS 
T.J. HoushmandzadehCincinnati200747 
Adam ThielenMinnesota201847 
Michael ThomasNew Orleans201846 
     
Cooper KuppL.A. Rams202242* 
*Entering Week 5

Kupp, who registered a career-high 14 receptions in Week 4, has recorded at least 10 receptions in three of his first four games this season and has 11 career games with 10-or-more receptions since entering the NFL in 2017.

With 10 receptions on Sunday, he can become the first player in NFL history with at least 10 receptions in four of his first five games of a season. He can also tie ANQUAN BOLDIN (12 games), JULIO JONES (12) and BRANDON MARSHALL (12) for the second-most such games by a player in his first six seasons all-time.

The players with the most games with at least 10 receptions in their first six seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAM(S)SEASONSGAMES
Michael ThomasNew Orleans2016-2118
Anquan BoldinArizona2003-0812
Julio JonesAtlanta2011-1612
Brandon MarshallDenver, Miami2006-1112
    
Cooper KuppL.A. Rams2017-2211*
*In sixth season

— NFL —

DOMINANT DAVANTE: Las Vegas wide receiver DAVANTE ADAMS ranks third among AFC wide receivers with 26 receptions this season and is one of five players in the league with a touchdown catch in three of his first four games in 2022. Since entering the NFL in 2014, he has 695 receptions for 8,411 yards and 76 touchdowns.

When the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (1-3) visit the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3-1) on Monday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, ESPN), Adams needs five receptions to become the fifth player in NFL history with at least 700 receptions and 75 touchdown catches in his first nine career seasons.

The players with at least 700 receptions and 75 touchdown catches in their first nine seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAM(S)SEASONSRECEPTIONSRECEIVING TDs
Larry FitzgeraldArizona2004-1276477
Marvin HarrisonHOFIndianapolis1996-200484598
Calvin JohnsonHOFDetroit2007-1573183
Jerry RiceHOFSan Francisco1985-93708118
     
Davante AdamsGreen Bay, Las Vegas2014-22695*76*
*In ninth season

Adams enters Monday night having surpassed 100 receiving yards in each of his past five games in primetime. That is tied with COOPER KUPP (active streak) for the longest such streak since 1970. With at least 100 receiving yards against Kansas City, Adams will become the first player to record at least 100 receiving yards in six consecutive primetime games since 1970. The Raiders and Rams will meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 14, the next scheduled primetime appearance for each club. 

— NFL —

Glendale, AZ – December 14, 2021 – State Farm Stadium: Von Miller (40) of the Los Angeles Rams during a Monday Night Football game. (Photo by Joe Faraoni / ESPN Images)

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