Vince’s View: NFL Week 9 Predictions and Game Notes, Titans/Chiefs, two most recent SB winners

Vince’s View: NFL Week 9 Predictions and Game Notes, Titans/Chiefs, two most recent SB winners

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Below is the game schedule with my Week 9 NFL game predictions. Winners straight-up are in bold. The line is my pick against the spread.

You’ll also see some tremendous notes on the games, teams and players provided by NFL Communications.

Listen to The NFL Report with John Wilkerson and two rotating Sports Animal hosts, including myself, every Sunday, 10am to 12:30pm ET on 99.1 The Sports Animal here in Knoxville and streaming here at 991TheSportsAnimal.com, the WNML app or on your smart speakers. We’ll break down all these games, review what’s happened, share injury news, fantasy advice and more. You can call or text the show at 865-656-9900.

2022 Week 8 Straight-Up: 11-4 (73%)
2022 Week 8 Against The Spread: 8-6 (53%)

2022 Season Straight-Up: 77-46 (63%)
2022 Season Against The Spread: 63-60 (51%)

2021 Season Straight-Up: 158-97 (62%)
2021 Season Against The Spread: 140-115 (55%)

WEEK 9 NFL SCHEDULE

(All times Eastern) BOLD = Straight-up winner / ( ) = vs. the spread winner

Thursday, November 3(-13.5) Philadelphia at HoustonPrime Video8:15
Sunday, November 6Los Angeles Chargers at Atlanta (+2.5)FOX1:00
(-4) Miami at ChicagoCBS1:00
Carolina at Cincinnati (-7)FOX1:00
(-4) Green Bay at DetroitFOX1:00
(-2.5) Las Vegas at JacksonvilleCBS1:00
Indianapolis at New England (-4.5)CBS1:00
(-10.5) Buffalo at New York JetsCBS1:00
(-3) Minnesota at WashingtonFOX1:00
(+1.5) Seattle at ArizonaFOX4:05
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay (-3)CBS4:25
(+13.5) Tennessee at Kansas CityNBC8:20
Monday, November 7(-1.5) Baltimore at New OrleansESPN8:15

Bye week: Cleveland, Dallas, Denver, N.Y. Giants, Pittsburgh, San Francisco

As the calendar turns to November, close games and turnaround teams have highlighted the first two months of the 2022 season. The final average score margin this year (9.52) is the lowest through the first eight weeks of a season since 1970 and 55 games have been decided by a touchdown (six points or fewer), the most such games through Week 8 in NFL history.

Entering Week 9, each conference has four teams currently in a playoff spot that missed the postseason a year ago: BALTIMORE (5-3), the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (4-3), MIAMI (5-3) and the NEW YORK JETS (5-3) in the AFC and ATLANTA (4-4), MINNESOTA (6-1), the NEW YORK GIANTS (6-2) and SEATTLE (5-3) in the NFC.

Seventeen teams have a .500-or-better record and 26 teams have at least three victories this season, tied with the 2018 season for the fourth-most such teams with at least three wins through the first eight weeks of a season all-time. Only 2017 (27 teams), 2016 (27) and 2012 (27) had more.

The starting 11 heading into Week 9… 

1. RUSHING SUCCESS: The 2022 season has the highest average rushing yards per attempt (4.54) through Week 8 since 1970 and there have been an average of 240.7 rushing yards per game, the most through the first eight weeks of a season since 1987 (243.7). Since 1970, there have been 17 occurrences of a player averaging over six yards per rush attempt (minimum 75 attempts) through the first eight weeks of a season, four of which are in 2022: Baltimore’s LAMAR JACKSON (7.37 yards per rush attempt), Dallas’ TONY POLLARD (6.25), Jacksonville’s TRAVIS ETIENNE (6.21) and Chicago’s KHALIL HERBERT (6.19). Of players with at least 75 rushing attempts, Jackson’s 7.37 yards per rush attempt is the highest mark through Week 8 since the merger.

The CHICAGO BEARS lead the league with 188.4 rushing yards per game this season, the third-highest rushing average by a team in their first eight games of a season since 1990, trailing only the 2006 ATLANTA FALCONS (205.1 rushing yards per game) and the 2019 BALTIMORE RAVENS (204.9).

The Bears can join the 1976 PITTSBURGH STEELERS (Weeks 7-10) as the only teams in the Super Bowl era with at least 225 rushing yards in four consecutive games and the first team since the 1978 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (Weeks 12-15) with at least 200 rushing yards in four straight contests.                                                                     

2. NUMBER OF THE WEEK – 136: The Monday Night Football matchup between BALTIMORE (5-3) and NEW ORLEANS (3-5) will be the 136th game played this season, officially marking the halfway point of the 2022 NFL schedule. 

3. NOTE THAT MATTERS: Tampa Bay quarterback TOM BRADY has 99,836 career passing yards, including the postseason, and needs 164 passing yards to become the first player in NFL history with 100,000 career passing yards. Brady has the most regular season passing yards (86,787) and postseason passing yards (13,049) all-time and has led the NFL in passing yards four times (2005, 2007, 2017 and 2021) during his 23-year career.

The meeting between the LOS ANGELES RAMS (Super Bowl LVI Champions) and TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (Super Bowl LV Champions) on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, CBS) marks the 27th occurrence in the Super Bowl era and the eighth time in the past 20 seasons that the two most recent Super Bowl winners will meet in the regular season. The team who won the Super Bowl more recently has won six of the previous seven such matchups.

4. SPOTLIGHT – POSITION GROUP: The MIAMI DOLPHINS (5-3), winners of two consecutive games, are led by wide receivers TYREEK HILL and JAYLEN WADDLE, who have set a historic pace through the first eight weeks. Hill, who leads the league in both receptions (69) and receiving yards (961), and Waddle, who ranks fourth in receiving yards (727) this season, have combined for the most receiving yards (1,688) by a pair of teammates through their first eight games of a season in the Super Bowl era.

Hill and Waddle each have four games with at least 100 receiving yards this season, including three games in which they both surpassed the 100-yard mark. On Sunday in Chicago (1:00 PM ET, CBS), the duo can surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer ISAAC BRUCE and TORRY HOLT of the 2000 St. Louis Rams (1,878 receiving yards) for the most combined receiving yards by teammates through their team’s first nine games of a season in the Super Bowl era.

Hill, who has at least 150 receiving yards in four games this season, can surpass Bruce (1,073 receiving yards in 1995) for the most receiving yards by a player in his team’s first nine games of a season in the Super Bowl era. Hill and Waddle can also become the sixth pair of teammates each with at least 800 receiving yards through their team’s first nine games all-time. 

5. SPOTLIGHT – TEAM MATCHUP: The TENNESSEE TITANS (5-2) visit the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (5-2) on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC) in a meeting between teams atop their respective divisions.

The Titans enter Week 9 on a five-game winning streak, the longest active winning streak in the AFC, after beginning the season 0-2. Last week, running back DERRICK HENRY recorded his sixth career game with at least 200 rushing yards, tied with ADRIAN PETERSON (six) and Pro Football Hall of Famer O.J. SIMPSON (six) for the most such games in NFL history. Including the postseason, he has 557 rushing yards (111.4 per game) and six rushing touchdowns in five career games against Kansas City.

The Chiefs are coming off a Week 8 bye having won three of their past four games with all four coming against 2021 playoff teams. Head coach ANDY REID has a 20-3 career record following his team’s bye week and Kansas City has won nine consecutive games in November dating back to Week 11 of the 2019 season. Quarterback PATRICK MAHOMES leads the NFL with 20 touchdown passes this season and ranks second in passing yards per game (308.4) and passer rating (109.5). 

6. STREAK SPEAK: Philadelphia quarterback JALEN HURTS, who turned 24 years old in August, has won each of his past 10 games as a starting quarterback, including his final three starts of the 2021 season and is the seventh-youngest quarterback in the Super Bowl era to win 10 consecutive starts.

With a win on Thursday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, Prime Video) at Houston, he can tie Pro Football Hall of Famer PEYTON MANNING (11 consecutive wins in 1999) and DAK PRESCOTT (11 in 2016) for the third-longest winning streak by a starting quarterback under the age of 25 since 1990, trailing only BEN ROETHLISBERGER (15 consecutive wins from 2004-05) and LAMAR JACKSON (13 consecutive wins from 2019-20).

Hurts can also become the third quarterback under the age of 25 to start and win each of his team’s first eight games of a season since 1950, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer DAN MARINO (1984 with Miami) and JARED GOFF (2018 with the Los Angeles Rams). 

7. DID YOU KNOW?: Through seven games this season, Buffalo quarterback JOSH ALLEN has totaled 2,198 passing yards and 306 rushing yards and leads all players with 357.7 combined passing and rushing yards per game. His 2,504 combined passing and rushing yards in 2022 trail only Pro Football Hall of Famer PEYTON MANNING (2,542 combined yards in 2013) and DREW BREES (2,512 in 2011) for the most such combined yards by a quarterback in his first seven games of a season. The BUFFALO BILLS (6-1) travel to MetLife Stadium on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS) to meet the NEW YORK JETS (5-3).

8. UNDER-THE-RADAR STORYLINE: There are three head coaches in their first season with a team – Miami’s MIKE MCDANIEL, Minnesota’s KEVIN O’CONNELL and the New York Giants’ BRIAN DABOLL – and four second-year head coaches – Atlanta’s ARTHUR SMITH, the Los Angeles Chargers’ BRANDON STALEY, the New York Jets’ ROBERT SALEH and Philadelphia’s NICK SIRIANNI – that currently have their club in playoff position.

There have only been two seasons in which three first-year head coaches qualified for the postseason in the same year – 2008 (JOHN HARBAUGHMIKE SMITH and TONY SPARANO) and 1992 (Pro Football Hall of Famer BILL COWHERDENNY GREEN and BOBBY ROSS) – while the most first- and second-year head coaches to make the playoffs in the same season is five, set in 2008 (MIKE TOMLIN and KEN WHISENHUNT in their second seasons).

O’Connell, whose Vikings visit the Washington Commanders on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, FOX), can become the fifth head coach since 2000 to win seven of his first eight games, joining JIM CALDWELL (2009), JIM HARBAUGH (2011), MATT LAFLEUR (2019) and MIKE MARTZ (2000). 

9. TREND TIME: There have been 55 games this season with a lead change in the third quarter or later, including at least four games in each of the first eight weeks. There have been 37 games in which a team came back to win or tie after trailing in the fourth quarter in 2022, tied with 2021 (37) and 1989 (37) for the third-most such games through Week 8 in NFL history, trailing only 2016 (38) and 2012 (38). 

10. THIS WEEK IN NFL HISTORY: The INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (3-4-1) visit the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (4-4) on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS). The two clubs met in Week 9 in four consecutive seasons from 2005-08, with the Colts earning three primetime victories and the Patriots lone win coming during their undefeated 2007 regular-season. In Week 9 of the 2005 season on Monday Night Football, the Pro Football Hall of Fame trio of PEYTON MANNING (321 yards and three touchdown passes), EDGERRIN JAMES (104 rushing yards and a touchdown) and MARVIN HARRISON (nine receptions for 128 yards and two touchdowns) as well as REGGIE WAYNE (nine receptions for 124 yards and one touchdown) each delivered standout performances. 

11. AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST: The BALTIMORE RAVENS have had a lead of at least 10 points in each of their first eight games of the season. On Monday Night Football in New Orleans (8:15 PM ET, ESPN), they can become the fifth team in the Super Bowl era to hold a 10-point lead in each of their first nine games of the season, joining the 2011 GREEN BAY PACKERS, 2009 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS, 1989 NEW YORK GIANTS and 1984 MIAMI DOLPHINS

PROTECTING THE ROCK: The PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (7-0) are the last remaining undefeated team in the league and with a win at Houston on Thursday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, Prime Video), they would be off to their best start to a season in franchise history.

Quarterback JALEN HURTS has been the starter for each of the Eagles wins this season and won each of his final three starts of the 2021 season. With a win on Thursday, Hurts – who turned 24 years old in August – can tie Pro Football Hall of Famer PEYTON MANNING (11 consecutive wins in 1999) and DAK PRESCOTT (11 in 2016) for the third-longest winning streak by a starting quarterback under the age of 25 since 1990. Only BEN ROETHLISBERGER (15 consecutive wins from 2004-05) and LAMAR JACKSON (13 consecutive wins from 2019-20) have longer streaks.

The starting quarterbacks under the age of 25 with the longest winning streaks since 1990:

PLAYERTEAMSEASON(S)CONSECUTIVE WINS
Ben RoethlisbergerPittsburgh2004-0515
Lamar JacksonBaltimore2019-2013
Peyton ManningHOFIndianapolis199911
Dak PrescottDallas201611
    
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia2021-2210*
*Active streak   

Philadelphia leads the league with a +14 turnover differential this season and has a league-low two giveaways through its first seven games. With no turnovers on Thursday, the Eagles will become the first team in the Super Bowl era with fewer than three giveaways through their first eight games of a season.

— NFL —

TOP BILLING: The BUFFALO BILLS (6-1) enter Week 9 on a four-game winning streak and own the league’s top offense (430.6 yards per game). They also rank third in total defense (298.1 yards allowed per game).

Buffalo visits the New York Jets on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS) and has a chance to become the third team ever to average at least 425 yards of offense per game and allow fewer than 300 yards per game on defense through its first eight games of a season, joining the 2010 San Diego Chargers and 2007 New England Patriots.

The teams to average at least 425 yards of offense per game and allow fewer than 300 yards per game through their first eight games of a season in NFL history:

TEAMSEASONYARDS PER GAMEYARDS PER GAME ALLOWED
San Diego Chargers2010426.9260.0
New England Patriots2007439.5268.5
    
Buffalo Bills2022430.6*298.1*
*Through seven games   

The Bills also enter the week with the league’s top-scoring defense (14.0 points allowed per game) and second-highest scoring offense (29.0 points per game). They can become the fourth team since 1970 to average at least 30 points per game and allow fewer than 14 points per game through their first eight games of a season, joining New England in 2019, Green Bay in 1996 and Washington in 1991.

— NFL —

WINDY CITY RUSHING: Led by running back KHALIL HERBERT (563 rushing yards) and quarterback JUSTIN FIELDS (424), the CHICAGO BEARS (3-5) enter the week with the league’s top rushing attack, averaging 188.4 yards per game on the ground.

As a team, Chicago has totaled over 225 rushing yards in each of its past three games. With at least 225 rushing yards against Miami on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), the Bears will become the fifth team ever and first since 1976 to record at least 225 rushing yards in four consecutive games.

The teams with at least 225 rushing yards in the most consecutive games in NFL history:

TEAMSEASONCONSECUTIVE GAMES
Pittsburgh Steelers19764
San Francisco 49ers19514
Philadelphia Eagles19494
Detroit Lions19344
   
Chicago Bears20223*
*Active streak  

— NFL —

CHAMPIONS VS. CHAMPIONS: The two most recent Super Bowl Champions will go head-to-head on Sunday (4:25 PM ET, CBS) when the LOS ANGELES RAMS (3-4) visit the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (3-4).

Los Angeles won Super Bowl LVI last year over Cincinnati as wide receiver COOPER KUPP recorded the game-winning touchdown catch with 1:25 remaining in the fourth quarter and defensive lineman AARON DONALD registered two of the Rams’ Super Bowl record nine sacks. Head coach SEAN MCVAY, with the win, became the youngest head coach to win the Super Bowl.

Two seasons ago, Tampa Bay defeated Kansas City to win Super Bowl LV. Quarterback TOM BRADY threw three touchdown passes in the win, earning his seventh Super Bowl title and fifth Pete Rozelle Trophy as Super Bowl Most Valuable Player, both the most by any player all-time.

The Rams (SoFi Stadium) and Buccaneers (Raymond James Stadium) are the only two teams to win a Super Bowl in their home stadiums.

This will be the 27th occurrence in the Super Bowl era and the eighth time in the past 20 seasons that the two most recent Super Bowl winners will meet in the regular season. The team who won the Super Bowl more recently has won six of the previous seven such matchups.

The matchups between the two most recent Super Bowl winners since 2003:

SEASONVISITING TEAM (SUPER BOWL)HOME TEAM (SUPER BOWL)RESULT
Week 9, 2022L.A. Rams (LVI)Tampa Bay (LVI)???
Week 4, 2020New England (LIII)Kansas City (LIV)KC 26, NE 10
Week 11, 2019Philadelphia (LII)New England (LIII)NE 17, PHI 10
Week 10, 2017New England (LI)Denver (50)NE 41, DEN 16
Week 15, 2016New England (XLIX)Denver (50)NE 16, DEN 3
Week 12, 2012Green Bay (XLV)N.Y. Giants (XLVI)NYG 38, GB 10
Week 1, 2011New Orleans (XLIV)Green Bay (XLV)GB 42, NO 34
Week 8, 2010Pittsburgh (XLIII)New Orleans (XLIV)NO 20, PIT 10
Bold denotes more recent Super Bowl winner

Brady enters Week 9 with 99,836 career passing yards, including the postseason, and needs 164 passing yards to become the first player in NFL history with 100,000 career passing yards. Brady has the most regular season passing yards (86,787) and postseason passing yards (13,049) all-time and has led the NFL in passing yards four times (2005, 2007, 2017 and 2021) during his 23-year career.

— NFL —

MORE MAHOMES HISTORY: Kansas City quarterback PATRICK MAHOMES leads the NFL with 20 touchdown passes this season and ranks fourth with 2,159 passing yards. In 70 career games (all starts), Mahomes has totaled 21,150 passing yards and 171 touchdown passes.

With 105 passing yards against Tennessee on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC), Mahomes will surpass MATTHEW STAFFORD (21,254 passing yards) for the most passing yards ever by a quarterback in his first 75 career starts. With three touchdown passes, Mahomes will surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer DAN MARINO (173 touchdown passes) for the most-ever by a quarterback in his first 75 career starts.   

The quarterbacks with the most passing yards in their first 75 career starts in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMPASSING YARDS
Matthew StaffordDetroit21,254
Patrick MahomesKansas City21,150*
Andrew LuckIndianapolis20,569
*In 70 career starts  

The quarterbacks with the most touchdown passes in their first 75 career starts in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMTOUCHDOWN PASSES
Dan MarinoHOFMiami173
Patrick MahomesKansas City171*
Aaron RodgersGreen Bay160
*In 70 career starts  

— NFL —

SUNSHINE STATE STARS: Miami wide receiver TYREEK HILL leads the league with 69 receptions and 961 receiving yards this season, the third-most receiving yards by a player in his team’s first eight games of a season in the Super Bowl era.

With 113 receiving yards at Chicago on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), a mark he has reached in four of eight games this season, Hill will surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer ISAAC BRUCE (1,073 receiving yards in 1995) for the most receiving yards by a player in his team’s first nine games of a season in the Super Bowl era.

Hill totaled 188 receiving yards last week and joined ROY GREEN (1984) as the only players ever with at least 150 receiving yards in four of their team’s first eight games of a season in NFL history. In 99 career games, Hill has surpassed 150 receiving yards 11 times.

With 150 receiving yards on Sunday, Hill will tie Pro Football Hall of Famer RANDY MOSS (12 games) for the fourth-most games with at least 150 receiving yards by a player through his first 100 career games in NFL history. Only Pro Football Hall of Famers LANCE ALWORTH (17 games) and JERRY RICE (14), as well as JULIO JONES (13) have more.

The players with the most games with at least 150 receiving yards in their first 100 career games:

PLAYERTEAM(S)GAMES
Lance AlworthHOFSan Diego Chargers17
Jerry RiceHOFSan Francisco14
Julio JonesAtlanta13
Randy MossHOFMinnesota12
Isaac BruceHOFSt. Louis Rams11
Tyreek HillKansas City, Miami11*
Calvin JohnsonHOFDetroit11
*In 99 games  

Hill’s teammate JAYLEN WADDLE ranks fourth in the league with 727 receiving yards in 2022. The two have combined for 1,688 receiving yards this season and have an opportunity to rank among the teammates with the most combined receiving yards through their team’s first nine games of a season in NFL history.

The teammates with the most combined receiving yards through their team’s first nine games of a season all-time:

TEAMMATESTEAMSEASONCOMBINED REC. YARDS
Bill Groman & Charlie HenniganHouston Oilers19611,950
Isaac BruceHOF & Torry HoltSt. Louis Rams20001,878
Emmanuel Sanders & Demaryius ThomasDenver20141,854
    
Tyreek Hill & Jaylen WaddleMiami20221,688*
*Through first eight games   

— NFL —

FULLY CHARGED: Los Angeles Chargers quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT ranks fourth in the NFL with 287.0 passing yards per game this season and has surpassed the 300-yard mark twice (Weeks 2 and 4). Since entering the league in 2020, Herbert has 19 games with at least 300 passing yards, tied for the most in the league.

With 300 passing yards at Atlanta on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, FOX), Herbert will surpass ANDREW LUCK (19 games) for the most games with at least 300 passing yards by a player in his first three seasons in NFL history.

AUSTIN EKELER leads all running backs this season with 53 receptions. Prior to the Chargers’ Week 8 bye, Ekeler totaled 10 receptions in Week 6 and 12 receptions in Week 7. With 10 receptions on Sunday, Ekeler will become the first running back ever with at least 10 receptions in three consecutive games.

Ekeler also ranks tied for second among all players with eight touchdowns (five rushing, three receiving) and is the only player in the league with at least one rushing touchdown and one touchdown reception in multiple games this season (Weeks 4, 5 and 7). Since entering the league as an undrafted free agent in 2017, Ekeler has nine games with both a rushing and receiving touchdown, the third-most in the NFL.

With both a rushing and receiving touchdown on Sunday, Ekeler will become the third player in NFL history with 10 games with both a rushing touchdown and receiving touchdown in his first six seasons, joining ALVIN KAMARA and CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY.

After totaling 11 touchdowns in 2019 and tying for the league lead with 20 touchdowns in 2021, Ekeler can become the fourth undrafted player in the common-draft era to have at least 10 touchdowns in three-or-more different seasons, joining ARIAN FOSTER (four seasons), ANTONIO GATES (four) and PRIEST HOLMES (four).

— NFL —

Glendale, AZ – December 14, 2021 – State Farm Stadium: Matthew Stafford (9) of the Los Angeles Rams during a Monday Night Football game. (Photo by Joe Faraoni / ESPN Images)

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