Vince’s View: NFL Week 10 Predictions and Game Notes, Titans vs. Broncos, Vikings at Bills, more

Vince’s View: NFL Week 10 Predictions and Game Notes, Titans vs. Broncos, Vikings at Bills, more

By Vince Ferrara / @VinceSports

Below is the game schedule with my Week 10 NFL game predictions. Winners straight-up are in bold. The line is my pick against the spread.

You’ll also see some tremendous notes on the games, teams and players provided by NFL Communications.

Listen to The NFL Report with John Wilkerson and two rotating Sports Animal hosts, including myself, every Sunday, 10am to 12:30pm ET on 99.1 The Sports Animal here in Knoxville and streaming here at 991TheSportsAnimal.com, the WNML app or on your smart speakers. We’ll break down all these games, review what’s happened, share injury news, fantasy advice and more. You can call or text the show at 865-656-9900.

2022 Week 9 Straight-Up: 9-4 (61%)
2022 Week 9 Against The Spread: 7-6 (54%)

2022 Season Straight-Up: 86-50 (63%)
2022 Season Against The Spread: 70-66 (51%)

2021 Season Straight-Up: 158-97 (62%)
2021 Season Against The Spread: 140-115 (55%)

WEEK 10 NFL SCHEDULE

(All times Eastern) BOLD = Straight-up winner / ( ) = vs. the spread winner

Thursday, November 10(-2.5) Atlanta at CarolinaPrime Video8:15
Sunday, November 13(+2.5) Seattle vs. Tampa Bay (Munich)NFLN9:30
(+7) Minnesota at BuffaloFOX1:00
Detroit at Chicago (-3)FOX1:00
Jacksonville at Kansas City (-9.5)CBS1:00
Cleveland at Miami (-3)CBS1:00
Houston at New York Giants (-5.5)CBS1:00
New Orleans at Pittsburgh (-1)FOX1:00
Denver at Tennessee (-2.5)CBS1:00
Indianapolis at Las Vegas (-4.5)CBS4:05
(-3.5) Dallas at Green BayFOX4:25
Arizona at Los Angeles Rams (-3)FOX4:25
(+7.5) Los Angeles Chargers at San FranciscoNBC8:20
Monday, November 14(+10.5) Washington at PhiladelphiaESPN8:15

Bye week: Baltimore, Cincinnati, New England, N.Y. Jets

The National Football League reaches a significant milestone in its 103-year history this week, playing its first regular-season game in a fourth country outside the United States.

When the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-3) meet the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-5) at Allianz Arena in Munich on Sunday (9:30 AM ET, NFL Network), the NFL will have played regular-season games in Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom and Germany.

In February, following a competitive application process, the NFL selected Munich as the venue for two of the four International Series games to be played in Germany over the next four years. Frankfurt will also host two games.

This week’s Seattle-Tampa Bay contest is one of five international games in 2022, including a Monday Night Football game between San Francisco and Arizona in Mexico City next week, and three already played in the UK.

The Starting 11 entering Week 10…

1.     JOHNNY UNITAS’ COLTS, 2022 EAGLES COULD SHARE REMARKABLE FEAT: The PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-0) lead the NFL in turnover ratio (+15) and takeaways (18) this season. This week, if they can finish their Monday Night Football game (8:15 PM ET, ESPN) with another positive turnover ratio, they’ll join the 1958 BALTIMORE COLTS as the only teams in NFL history to open a season with a plus-turnover margin in each of their first nine games. That year, the Colts beat the Giants in the NFL Championship Game, 23-17, in what most have called the greatest game ever played, the first sudden-death overtime contest in league history.

  • And speaking of close games, the Eagles’ opponent this week, WASHINGTON (4-5), is 4-2 in games decided by seven-or-fewer points this season, tied with the Titans (4-2) for the league’s second-best record. With a minimum of six games, only the Giants (5-1) have a better mark in those contests.
  • Through nine weeks this year, 72 NFL games have been decided by seven-or-fewer points, more than any season through Week 9 in league history.

2.     NUMBER OF THE WEEK – 100: The number of career NFL sacks the Bosa family could reach this week. JOEY and NICK BOSA’s teams meet for the first time since the brothers entered the league when the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (5-3) visit the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (4-4) on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC), and the family (99.5) needs just one-half sack to reach 100. Joey Bosa has 59.5 career sacks in seven seasons for the Chargers. Younger brother Nick Bosa has 33 career sacks since entering the league in 2019. Their father, JOHN BOSA, registered seven career sacks from 1987-89 with the Dolphins.

  • Since the individual sack became an official statistic in 1982, the Bosas rank seventh among NFL families in combined sacks, trailing J.J. and T.J. WATT (179.5), CLAY MATTHEWS SR.CLAY MATTHEWS III and CASEY MATTHEWS (163.5), HOWIE and CHRIS LONG (154), JOHN and ERVIN RANDLE (145.5), ARTHUR and CHANDLER JONES (118) and JIM and JACKSON JEFFCOAT (103.5)

3.     NFC BEAST: The NFC East division is a combined 9-1 (.900) against the AFC this season, entering the HOUSTON (1-6-1) at NEW YORK GIANTS (6-2) matchup on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS). The Giants and Eagles are each 3-0 against the other conference, while the Commanders are 2-1 and the Cowboys are 1-0.

  • Since the 1970 league merger created AFC-NFC interconference play, the best single-season winning percentage by one division against the other conference was the 1976 AFC Central, which finished 7-1 (.875) against the NFC.
  • Since Pro Football Hall of Famer JOE MONTANA embarked on his 1989 MVP season, a division has finished with an .800-or-better interconference record on five occasions. In four of those five seasons, that division has earned a Super Bowl title (San Francisco from the NFC West in 1989, Washington from the NFC East in 1991, New England from the AFC East in 2004 and Seattle from the NFC West in 2013).

4.     SPOTLIGHT – INDIVIDUAL MATCHUP: Arizona wide receiver DEANDRE HOPKINS over the past three weeks has 26 receptions, tied with TYREEK HILL for first in the NFL over that span, and ranks second behind Hill with 298 receiving yards. On Sunday at SoFi Stadium (4:25 PM ET, FOX), Hopkins faces a secondary that includes five-time Pro Bowler JALEN RAMSEY, who will play in his 100th NFL game. Since the beginning of 2021, Ramsey has broken up 25 passes. Only TREVON DIGGS (33) and JAMES BRADBERRY (28) have more in that time.

5.     SPOTLIGHT – TEAM MATCHUPDENVER (3-5) at TENNESSEE (5-3) on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS). Coordinator EJIRO EVERO and the Denver defense have the league’s best red-zone defense, allowing just five touchdowns in 19 opponent possessions (26.3 percent). Meanwhile, Titans coordinator TODD DOWNING has his unit ranked first in red-zone offense, with 15 touchdowns in 19 possessions (78.9 percent).

6.     STREAK SPEAK: The NFL’s second-longest active winning streak will be on the line Sunday when the MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-1) visit the BUFFALO BILLS (6-2) at Highmark Stadium (1:00 PM ET, FOX). Only PHILADELPHIA (8-0) has a longer active winning streak than the Vikings, who’ve won six in a row. After Sunday, Minnesota gets DALLAS (6-2), NEW ENGLAND (5-4) and the NEW YORK JETS (6-3), all at home.

  • This season, the Vikings are tied with the Giants for the most wins (four) after trailing in the fourth quarter. Overall in the NFL this year, 42 games have been won or tied by teams that trailed in the fourth quarter. That’s more than any prior NFL season through nine weeks.

7.     DID YOU KNOW?: Sadly, Pro Football Hall of Fame punter RAY GUY passed away last week at age 72. Honoring the legacy of the three-time Super Bowl champion, those who have followed in his footsteps have collectively performed at an unprecedented level this season. In 2022, NFL punters are averaging 42.1 net yards per punt, the highest mark through Week 9 since 1976, when net punting became an individual statistic. NFL punters also are averaging 47.5 gross yards per punt, the best figure through nine weeks of any season since the 1970 league merger.

  • When KANSAS CITY (6-2) hosts JACKSONVILLE (3-6) on Sunday (1:00 PM ET, CBS), two of the league’s top punters will face off. The Chiefs’ TOMMY TOWNSEND leads the NFL with a 47.3 net punting average, while the Jaguars’ LOGAN COOKE (44.3) is fourth.

8.     UNDER-THE-RADAR STORYLINE: Since entering the league in 2020, Chargers quarterback JUSTIN HERBERT has 19 games with at least 300 passing yards, tied for the most in the league. With 300 passing yards at San Francisco on Sunday Night Football (8:20 PM ET, NBC), Herbert will surpass ANDREW LUCK (19) for the most 300-yard games by a player in his first three seasons in NFL history. Herbert has thrived under offensive coordinator JOE LOMBARDI. The NFL this month is honoring Lombardi, a graduate of the U.S. Air Force Academy who served a four-year tour of active duty, and all of our nation’s service members, veterans and their families in the annual Salute to Service initiative. Grounded in deep partnerships with military and veteran support organizations, Salute to Service seeks to honor, empower and connect with our nation’s military community. The military is an important part of Lombardi’s family. His grandfather, Pro Football Hall of Famer VINCE LOMBARDI, was as an assistant at the United States Military Academy under the legendary Earl “Red” Blaik from 1949-53.

  • For more information on the NFL’s Salute to Service initiative, click here.
  • For the team-by-team nominees for the 12th Annual Salute to Service Award Presented by USAA, including a new fan voting opportunity, click here.

9.     TREND TIME: Including the postseason, the Rams’ SEAN MCVAY against Arizona is 11-1 (.917), the best winning percentage by an active head coach against an opponent with a minimum of 10 meetings.

10.  THIS WEEK IN NFL HISTORY: Nov. 8, 1987 (35 years ago) – LAWRENCE TAYLOR records two sacks and intercepts the Patriots’ STEVE GROGAN at the New York 15-yard line with just over a minute remaining to preserve a 17-10 Giants victory. An eventual Pro Football Hall of Famer, Taylor highlights the first regular-season game in NFL history to air on the new medium of cable television. The ESPN broadcast booth on the historic occasion features Mike Patrick, Roy Firestone and Larry Csonka, with Chris Berman in the studio.

11.  AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST: Recent history has proven that every NFL team should have hope. One example: In each of the past five seasons (2018-22) and in 14 of the past 16 (since 2007), at least one club has established or tied its best start in franchise history after eight games. Last week, the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-0) extended the NFL’s streak. ARIZONA (2021), BALTIMORE (2019, 2020 and 2021), the LOS ANGELES RAMS (2018), NEW ENGLAND (2019), PITTSBURGH (2020), SAN FRANCISCO (2019), and TAMPA BAY (2020 and 2021) have preceded the Eagles over the past five seasons in that category. And since 2007, 18 of the 32 NFL teams have established or tied their best eight-game starts in franchise history.

WELCOME TO GERMANY: When the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (6-3) and TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-5) meet at Allianz Arena in Munich on Sunday (9:30 AM ET, NFL Network), it will mark the first NFL regular-season game played in Germany and the fourth of five international games on the 2022 NFL schedule. San Francisco and Arizona close out the international slate of games this season on Monday Night Football from Mexico City in Week 11.

WEEKLOCATIONSTADIUMRESULT
Week 4United Kingdom (London)Tottenham Hotspur StadiumMinnesota 28, New Orleans 25
Week 5United Kingdom (London)Tottenham Hotspur StadiumNew York Giants 27, Green Bay 22
Week 8United Kingdom (London)Wembley StadiumDenver 21, Jacksonville 17
Week 10Germany (Munich)Allianz ArenaSeattle vs. Tampa Bay
Week 11Mexico (Mexico City)Estadio AztecaSan Francisco vs. Arizona


With a start in Germany, Tampa Bay quarterback TOM BRADY will become the first quarterback to start a game in three different countries outside of the United States. Each of his three previous international starts came with New England, with one start in Mexico City (Week 11, 2017) and two starts in London (Week 7, 2009 and Week 8, 2012). Brady is 3-0 in international games and his 125.2 passer rating is the highest among all quarterbacks who have started multiple games outside of the United States.

Brady, who has the fewest interceptions (one) among all quarterbacks with at least three starts this season, enters Week 10 with 373 consecutive pass attempts without an interception and can surpass AARON RODGERS in 2018 (402) for the most consecutive pass attempts without an interception in NFL history.

The players with the most consecutive pass attempts without an interception in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASON(S)PASS ATTEMPTS
Aaron RodgersGreen Bay2018402
Tom BradyTampa Bay2022373*
Tom BradyNew England2010-11358
Derek CarrOakland Raiders2018332
*Active streak

Since entering the NFL in 2014, Tampa Bay wide receiver MIKE EVANS ranks second among all players in touchdown receptions (78) and third in receiving yards (9,918) and is the only player in league history with at least 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first eight career seasons.

With at least 82 receiving yards, Evans can become the sixth player all-time with at least 10,000 receiving yards and 75 touchdown receptions in his first nine career seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers MARVIN HARRISONCALVIN JOHNSONRANDY MOSS and JERRY RICE as well as LARRY FITZGERALD.

The players with at least 10,000 receiving yards and 75 touchdown receptions in their first nine seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAM(S)REC. YARDSREC. TD
Larry FitzgeraldArizona10,41377
Marvin HarrisonHOFIndianapolis11,18598
Calvin JohnsonHOFDetroit11,61983
Randy MossHOFMinnesota, Oakland Raiders10,700101
Jerry RiceHOFSan Francisco11,776118
    
Mike EvansTampa Bay9,918*78*
*In ninth season

Evans leads the Buccaneers with 44 receptions this season and needs six receptions to become the sixth player in NFL history with at least 50 receptions in each of his first nine career seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer MARVIN HARRISONANQUAN BOLDINGARY CLARKLARRY FITZGERALD and TORRY HOLT.

Seattle rookie running back KENNETH WALKER leads all rookies with seven rushing touchdowns and has recorded at least one rushing touchdown in five consecutive games. With a rushing touchdown in Munich, he can become the fourth rookie since 1990 to rush for a touchdown in six consecutive games.

The rookies with the most consecutive games with a rushing touchdown since 1990:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONGAMES
Maurice Jones-DrewJacksonville20068
J.K. DobbinsBaltimore20206
Robert EdwardsNew England19986
    
Kenneth WalkerSeattle20225*
*Active streak

— NFL —

FAMILY AFFAIRS: Among the matchups scheduled for Week 10, multiple members of the same families could meet one another in four different games.

Brothers DALVIN and JAMES COOK will meet for the first time in their careers in Buffalo (1:00 PM ET, FOX), brothers AMON-RA and EQUANIMEOUS ST. BROWN will face off in Chicago (1:00 PM ET, FOX) and cousins NICK and BRADLEY CHUBB square off in Miami (1:00 PM ET, CBS).

There have only been two occasions in the Super Bowl era in which two brothers each scored a touchdown in the same game: KEVIN and ANDRE DYSON on September 22, 2002 (Cleveland at Tennessee) and WILLIE and TERRY JACKSON on November 5, 2000 (San Francisco at New Orleans).

Additionally, JOEY and NICK BOSA can share the field on Sunday Night Football (8:15 PM ET, NBC) when the Chargers visit San Francisco. Along with their father, JOHN BOSA (seven career sacks), Joey (59.5) and Nick (33) have combined for 99.5 sacks as a family and can become the seventh family, in which each player had at least one sack, to reach 100 combined sacks since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic.

The NFL families with the most combined sacks since 1982 (minimum one sack each):

LAST NAMEPLAYERSSACKS
WattJ.J.*, T.J.*179.5
MatthewsClay Sr., Clay, Casey163.5
LongHowieHOF, Chris154
RandleJohnHOF, Ervin145.5
JonesArthur, Chandler*118
JeffcoatJim, Jackson103.5
   
BosaJohn, Joey*, Nick*99.5
*Active player

— NFL —

PATRICK STARRING: Kansas City quarterback PATRICK MAHOMES leads the NFL with 2,605 passing yards this season and in Week 9 became the first player in the Super Bowl era with at least 400 passing yards (466), 60 rushing yards (63) and both a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown in a single game.

Mahomes, who also passed for 423 yards in Week 7 before the team’s Week 8 bye, can join RYAN FITZPATRICK (Weeks 1-3, 2018) and DAK PRESCOTT (Weeks 2-4, 2020) as the only players in NFL history with at least 400 passing yards in three consecutive games.

Since entering the NFL in 2017, Mahomes has nine career games with at least 400 passing yards and can become the first player with at least 10 such games in his first six career seasons in NFL history.

The players with the most games with at least 400 passing yards in their first six seasons in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMGAMES
Patrick MahomesKansas City9*
Dan MarinoHOFMiami9
Dak PrescottDallas9
*In sixth season

— NFL —

FIELDS DAY: Last week, quarterback JUSTIN FIELDS became the first player in NFL history with at least three touchdown passes, 150 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown in a single game. His 178 rushing yards last week are the most rushing yards by a quarterback in a regular-season game since at least 1940.

Fields has recorded at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown in three consecutive games and can become the fifth player in the Super Bowl era to reach those marks in four consecutive games, joining KYLER MURRAY (five consecutive games in 2020), JIM HART (four in 1968), RYAN TANNEHILL (four from 2020-21) and MICHAEL VICK (four in 2010).

The players with at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown in the most consecutive games in the Super Bowl era:

PLAYERTEAMSEASON(S)GAMES
Kyler MurrayArizona20205
Jim HartSt. Louis Cardinals19684
Ryan TannehillTennessee2020-214
Michael VickPhiladelphia20104
    
Justin FieldsChicago20223*
*Active streak

— NFL —

KING ME: Tennessee running back DERRICK HENRY leads the NFL with 870 rushing yards and ranks second with nine rushing touchdowns this season. Since 2018, he leads all players with 64 rushing touchdowns, including at least 10 rushing touchdowns in each of his past four seasons.

With a rushing touchdown against Denver (1:00 PM ET, CBS), Henry can become the fifth player in NFL history with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in five consecutive seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer LADAINIAN TOMLINSON (nine consecutive seasons from 2001-09), ADRIAN PETERSON (seven from 2007-13), SHAUN ALEXANDER (five from 2001-05) and MICHAEL TURNER (five from 2008-12)

The players with the most consecutive seasons with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONS
LaDainian TomlinsonHOFSan Diego Chargers9 (2001-09)
Adrian PetersonMinnesota7 (2007-13)
Shaun AlexanderSeattle5 (2001-05)
Michael TurnerAtlanta5 (2008-12)
   
Derrick HenryTennessee4* (2018-21)
*Active streak

— NFL —

RECORD SETTING RECEIVERS: Miami wide receiver TYREEK HILL leads the league with 76 receptions and 1,104 receiving yards this season, the most receiving yards by a player in his team’s first nine games of a season in the Super Bowl era, while Los Angeles Rams wide receiver COOPER KUPP, in eight games, ranks second with 72 receptions.

On Sunday against Cleveland (1:00 PM ET, CBS), Hill can surpass JULIO JONES (1,189 receiving yards in 2015) for the most receiving yards by a player in his team’s first 10 games of a season in the Super Bowl era and become the fifth player in NFL history to reach 1,200 receiving yards in his team’s first 10 games of a season.

The players with the most receiving yards in their team’s first 10 games of a season in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONREC. YARDS
Elroy “Crazy Legs” HirschHOFL.A. Rams19511,268
Raymond BerryHOFBaltimore Colts19601,264
Charlie HenniganHouston Oilers19611,245
Don HutsonHOFGreen Bay19421,204
Julio JonesAtlanta20151,189
Isaac BruceHOFSt. Louis Rams19951,183
    
Tyreek HillMiami20221,104*
*In team’s first nine games

While the Rams have played one fewer game than the Dolphins due to an earlier bye week, Kupp isn’t far behind Hill.

Kupp, who has recorded at least eight receptions in six of his eight games this season, needs eight catches against Arizona (4:25 PM ET, FOX) to become the third player in NFL history with at least 80 receptions in his team’s first nine games of a season, joining MICHAEL THOMAS (86 receptions in 2019) and JULIO JONES (80 in 2015).

The players with the most receptions in their team’s first nine games of a season in NFL history:

PLAYERTEAMSEASONRECEPTIONS
Michael ThomasNew Orleans201986
Julio JonesAtlanta201580
Adam ThielenMinnesota201878
Michael ThomasNew Orleans201978
Tyreek Hill#Miami202276
    
Cooper KuppL.A. Rams202272*
*In team’s first eight games

— NFL —

FASTEST TO 4,000: Since entering the NFL in 2020, Minnesota wide receiver JUSTIN JEFFERSON leads all players with 3,883 receiving yards and has recorded 19 games with at least 100 receiving yards, tied with DAVANTE ADAMS and COOPER KUPP for the most such games over the past three seasons.

With at least 100 receiving yards at Buffalo (1:00 PM ET, FOX), Jefferson can surpass ODELL BECKHAM JR. (19 games) and Pro Football Hall of Famer RANDY MOSS (19) for the most such games by a player in his first three career seasons in NFL history. 

Jefferson, who has appeared in 41 career games, needs 117 receiving yards on Sunday to tie Pro Football Hall of Famer LANCE ALWORTH (42 games) and ODELL BECKHAM JR. (42) for the fewest games to reach 4,000 career receiving yards in NFL history.

The players to reach 4,000 career receiving yards in the fewest games in NFL history: 

PLAYERTEAMGAMES
Lance AlworthHOFSan Diego Chargers42
Odell Beckham Jr.New York Giants42
Julio JonesAtlanta47
Randy MossHOFMinnesota47
   
Justin JeffersonMinnesota41*
*Has 3,883 receiving yards

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