5 divisions separated by just one game in the NFL entering Week 14; predictions in Vince’s View

Here are my Week 14 NFL Game Predictions, both straight-up and against the spread and my results from last week and the season.

You’ll also find an array of fantastic notes down below for Week 14 and the 2025 season courtesy of NFL Communications press releases.

There are 24 VFLs on 53-player rosters in the NFL. There are 2 on practice squads and 4 more on injured reserve, bringing the league total to 30 with NFL teams. Look for a VFL in the NFL, ex-Vol and local player update blog soon on this feed and website, 991TheSportsAnimal.com.

Vince’s Picks Results
Week 13: 10-6 straight-up & 11-5 spread
Season: 132-62 (68%) straight-up & 106-88 (55%) spread

Winners are in bold. Pick against the spread selection is listed to the side.

Week 14
Thursday, Dec. 4, 2025
8:15pm
Dallas at Detroit (-3.5) – Detroit -3.5

Sunday, Dec. 7, 2025
1pm
Seattle (-6.5) at Atlanta – Seattle -6.5
Pittsburgh at Baltimore (-6) – Pittsburgh +6
Cincinnati at Buffalo (-6) – Cincinnati +6
Tennessee at Cleveland (-3.5) – Tennessee +3.5
Indianapolis (-1.5) at Jacksonville – Jacksonville +1.5
Washington (-1.5) at Minnesota – Minnesota +1.5
Miami (-2.5) at NY Jets – Miami -2.5
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (-8.5) – New Orleans +8.5

4:05/4:25pm
Denver (-7.5) at Las Vegas – Denver -7.5
LA Rams (-9.5) at Arizona – LA Rams -9.5
Chicago at Green Bay (-6.5) – Chicago +6.5

8:20pm
Houston at Kansas City (-3.5) – Kansas City -3.5

Monday, Dec 8, 2025
8:15pm
Philadelphia (-2.5) at LA Chargers – Philadelphia -2.5

Off This Week: Carolina, New England, NY Giants & San Francisco

NEW YORK — Dec. 2, 2025 — 2025 marks the fifth time since realignment in 2002 that at least five divisions are separated by one-or-fewer games entering Week 14 (seven divisions in 2010, five divisions in 2003, 2014 and 2019) and the fifth time since 2002 that four divisions (AFC South, AFC West, NFC North and NFC West) had three teams with a .500-or-better record entering Week 14.

In the NFC, the 49ers (9-4), currently the No. 7 seed, are half a game behind the top-seeded Bears (9-3) entering Week 14. Per NFL Research, the only other time in the Wild Card era (since 1978) that the final playoff seed in a conference was within half a game or less of the top seed this late in a season was the AFC in 1980, when all five seeds were 10-5 entering the final week of the season.

For Week 14 capsules, click here.

Here’s a look at a few interesting storylines entering Week 14:

Dallas (6-5-1) at Detroit (7-5) (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video): Dallas leads the NFL in total offense (393.1 yards per game) and ranks second in scoring offense (29.3 points per game) while Detroit ranks third in both total offense and scoring offense (376.3 yards per game and 29.2 points per game) entering Week 14. It marks the fifth game since 1970 in Week 14 or later between teams that are averaging at least 29 points per game and 375 yards of total offense.

• Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott ranks second in the NFL with 3,261 passing yards and is tied with Detroit quarterback Jared Goff for the second-most touchdown passes (25) in the NFL this season.
• Prescott has 4,760 passing yards in 18 career Thursday starts and can join Aaron Rodgers (5,126 passing yards) and Tom Brady (5,110) as the only quarterbacks all-time with at least 5,000 passing yards in Thursday games.
• Detroit running back Jahmyr Gibbs leads the NFL with 44 touchdowns since entering the NFL in 2023. With a touchdown on Thursday, he can tie Pro Football Hall of Famer Earl Campbell (45 touchdowns) for the fourth-most touchdowns by a player in his first three seasons in NFL history, trailing only Pro Football Hall of Famers Barry Sanders (47), Eric Dickerson (46) and Gale Sayers (46).

Pittsburgh (6-6) at Baltimore (6-6) (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS): Pittsburgh and Baltimore enter Week 14 tied at the top of the AFC North and are set for two meetings (Week 14 at Baltimore, Week 18 at Pittsburgh) in the final five weeks of the season. The Ravens defeated the Steelers, 28-14, in the 2024 AFC Wild Card round as running back Derrick Henry rushed for 186 yards and two touchdowns. Since 2020, the Steelers have won eight of the past 10 regular-season matchups, with nine of the 10 games decided by seven-or-fewer points.

• Henry has 10 rushing touchdowns in 2025 and became the second player ever with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in eight consecutive seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson (nine consecutive seasons from 2001-09 with the San Diego Chargers).
• Henry has 931 rushing yards this season and can become the fourth player all-time with at least 1,000 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns in seven career seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers LaDainian Tomlinson (eight seasons) and Emmitt Smith (seven) as well as Adrian Peterson (seven).

Indianapolis (8-4) at Jacksonville (8-4) (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS): Indianapolis and Jacksonville enter Week 14 tied atop the AFC South and are set to meet twice in the next four weeks (Week 14 at Jacksonville, Week 17 at Indianapolis). The Colts lead the NFL in scoring offense (29.8 points per game), including a league-best 22 rushing touchdowns, while the Jaguars have the league’s top rushing defense (82.4 rushing yards allowed per game) and are the only AFC team to allow 10-or-fewer points in four games this season.

• Indianapolis quarterback Daniel Jones ranks third in the AFC with 3,041 passing yards and is one of two quarterbacks, along with New England’s Drake Maye, with a passer rating of 100-or-more in nine-or-more games  (nine) this season.
• Jacksonville defensive end Josh Hines-Allen is one of three players, along with Cleveland’s Myles Garrett and Las Vegas’ Maxx Crosby, with at least six sacks and 10 tackles for loss in six of the past seven seasons. The Jaguars have won seven consecutive games in which Hines-Allen had at least half a sack.

Chicago (9-3) at Green Bay (8-3-1) (Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX): Chicago leads Green Bay by a half game in the NFC North as the two rivals are set to meet twice in the next three weeks (Week 14 at Green Bay, Week 16 at Chicago). The Bears lead the NFL in takeaways (26), including a league-high 17 interceptions, while the Packers have turned the ball over a league-low seven times this season.

• Chicago safety Kevin Byard leads the NFL with six interceptions this season and is the first player age 32 or older to be leading the league in interceptions through Week 13 since 2019 (Devin McCourty).
• Green Bay defensive lineman Micah Parsons has 12.5 sacks this season and became the first player since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic, with at least 12 sacks in each of his first five seasons. Since entering the NFL in 2021, he has 65 sacks, the fifth-most by a player in his first five seasons since 1982, trailing only Pro Football Hall of Famers Reggie White (81 sacks) and Derrick Thomas (66) as well as J.J. Watt (74.5) and T.J. Watt (72).

Denver (10-2) at Las Vegas (2-10) (Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS): The Broncos have won nine consecutive games and joined the 1986 New York Giants (Weeks 9-12) as the only teams in NFL history to win four consecutive games by three-or-fewer points.

• Denver is the first team since the 2021 Tennessee Titans to win six games by three-or-fewer points in a single season and can join the 2003 Carolina Panthers and 1998 Arizona Cardinals as the only teams in NFL history with seven wins by three-or-fewer points in a single season.
• The Broncos are the fifth team in the past 40 seasons (1986-2025) with at least 50 sacks (51) in their first 12 games of a season, joining the 1989 Minnesota Vikings (57 sacks), 1987 Chicago Bears (56), 2000 New Orleans Saints (55) and 1987 Philadelphia Eagles (50).
• Denver quarterback Bo Nix has 20 regular season wins since entering the NFL in 2024. In NFL history, only five quarterbacks have won more regular-season games in their first two seasons: Russell Wilson (24 wins), Andrew Luck (22), Dak Prescott (22), Ben Roethlisberger (22) and Pro Football Hall of Famer Dan Marino (21).

Houston (7-5) at Kansas City (6-6) (Sunday, 8: 20 p.m. ET, NBC): Houston, entering Week 14 one game out of a playoff spot and one game behind Indianapolis and Jacksonville for the AFC South division lead, have won four consecutive games and aim to become the fifth team since 1990 to begin 0-3 and qualify for the postseason, joining the 2018 Houston Texans, 1998 Buffalo Bills, 1995 Detroit Lions and 1992 San Diego Chargers.

• The Texans lead the NFL in scoring defense (16.5 points per game) and total defense (265.7 yards per game allowed), including a league-best 10 games in which they have allowed 20-or-fewer points. The Chiefs have won five consecutive home games, with at least 28 points scored in four of the five wins.
• Houston cornerback Derek Stingley, per Next Gen Stats, has allowed the lowest passer rating (56.0), second-lowest completion percentage (44.9) and tied for the third-fewest receptions (22) among cornerbacks with at least 300 coverage snaps this season.
• Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes has 22 touchdown passes this season and can become the sixth player all-time with at least 25 touchdown passes in eight consecutive seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning (13 seasons from 1998-2010), Drew Brees (11 from 2006-16), Philip Rivers (11 from 2008-18), Tom Brady (10 from 2009-18) and Kirk Cousins (eight from 2015-22).

Philadelphia (8-4) at the Los Angeles Chargers (8-4) (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC): Since both being selected in the 2020 NFL Draft, Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert ranks third in the NFL with 172 combined passing and rushing touchdowns while Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts ranks tied for fourth with 167.

• Herbert, who has 2,842 passing yards and 21 touchdown passes this season, can become the third player ever with at least 3,000 passing yards and 20 touchdown passes in each of his first six seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson.
• Philadelphia wide receiver A.J. Brown has 24 games with at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception since entering the NFL in 2019 and can become the sixth player in the Super Bowl era with at least 25 such games in his first seven seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers Randy Moss (34 games), Jerry Rice (31), Marvin Harrison (27) and Calvin Johnson (27) as well as Torry Holt (25).

• JARED GOFF
• Detroit quarterback Jared Goffhas 44 career games with at least 300 passing yards since entering the NFL in 2016, including two this season.
• With 300 passing yards on Thursday Night Footballagainst Dallas (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video), Goff can join Patrick Mahomes (50 games, in ninth season) and Matt Ryan (45) as the only players with at least 45 such games in their first 10 career seasons all-time.
• JUSTIN HERBERT
• Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbertranks third in the AFC in touchdown passes (21) and fourth in passing yards (2,842) this season.
• With 158 passing yards on Monday Night Footballagainst Philadelphia (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC), Herbert can become the third player ever with at least 3,000 passing yards and 20 touchdown passes in each of his first six seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson.
• JALEN HURTS
• Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurtsranks second among quarterbacks with eight rushing touchdowns this season. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Hurts has 29 career games with at least one touchdown pass and one rushing touchdown.
• With two rushing touchdowns on Monday Night Footballat the Los Angeles Chargers (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC), Hurts can become the first quarterback in NFL history with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in five career seasons and the sixth player all-time with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in five consecutive seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson (nine seasons from 2001-09), Derrick Henry (eight from 2018-25, active streak), Adrian Peterson (seven from 2007-13), Shaun Alexander (five from 2001-05) and Michael Turner (five from 2008-12).
• Additionally, Hurts can become the fourth player since 2000 with at least 10 rushing touchdowns in five of his first six career seasons, joining Adrian Peterson(first six seasons), Pro Football Hall of Famer LaDainian Tomlinson (six) and Shaun Alexander (five).
• With a touchdown pass and rushing touchdown, Hurts can become the fifth quarterback in NFL history with at least 30 games with both a touchdown pass and a rushing touchdown, joining Josh Allen(49 games), Cam Newton (45), Aaron Rodgers (31) and Pro Football Hall of Famer Steve Young (31).
• PATRICK MAHOMES
• Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomesranks second in the AFC with 22 touchdown passes this season. Mahomes has five games with at least three touchdown passes this season, tied for the second-most in the NFL.
• With three touchdown passes on Sunday Night Footballagainst Houston (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), Mahomes can become the sixth player all-time with at least 25 touchdown passes in eight consecutive seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famer Peyton Manning (13 seasons from 1998-2010), Drew Brees (11 from 2006-16), Philip Rivers (11 from 2008-18), Tom Brady (10 from 2009-18) and Kirk Cousins (eight from 2015-22).
• DERRICK HENRY
• Baltimore running back Derrick Henryranks tied for fourth in rushing touchdowns (10) and seventh in rushing yards (931) this season. Henry has 39 career games with at least 100 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, including three such games this season.
• With 100 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown on Sunday against Pittsburgh (1 p.m. ET, CBS), Henry can become the sixth player all-time with 40 such career games, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers Emmitt Smith(56 games), Walter Payton (48), Barry Sanders (43), LaDainian Tomlinson (43) and Jim Brown (41).
• Additionally, Henry can tie Pro Football Hall of Famer Barry Sanders(43 games) for the fourth-most games with at least 100 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, including the postseason, in NFL history. Only Pro Football Hall of Famers Emmitt Smith (63 games), Walter Payton (48) and LaDainian Tomlinson (44) have more.
• The players with the most games with at least 100 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown, including the postseason, in NFL history:

• With two rushing touchdowns, something he’s done three times this season, Henry can join Pro Football Hall of Famer LaDanian Tomlinson(seven seasons) as the only players with seven seasons with at least 12 rushing touchdowns in NFL history.
• Additionally, Henry can become the fourth player all-time with at least 1,000 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns in seven career seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers LaDainian Tomlinson(eight seasons) and Emmitt Smith (seven) as well as Adrian Peterson (seven).
• J. BROWN
• Philadelphia wide receiver J. Brownhas 24 career games with at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception and has four such games this season, including in each of his past two.
• With at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception on Monday Night Footballat the Los Angeles Chargers (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC), Brown can become the sixth player in the Super Bowl era with at least 25 games with at least 100 receiving yards and a touchdown reception through his first seven seasons, joining Pro Football Hall of Famers Randy Moss (34 games), Jerry Rice (31), Marvin Harrison (27) and Calvin Johnson (27) as well as Torry Holt (25).
• Additionally, with 151 receiving yards on Monday, Brown can become the second player in NFL history with at least 50 receptions, 850 receiving yards and five touchdown receptions in each of his first seven career seasons, joining Gary Clark (1985-91 with Washington).
• JUSTIN JEFFERSON
• Minnesota wide receiver Justin Jeffersonhas 557 receptions, 8,231 receiving yards and 42 touchdown receptions since entering the NFL in 2020.
• With 145 receiving yards on Sunday against Washington (1 p.m. ET, FOX), Jefferson can surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer Randy Moss(8,375 receiving yards) for the most receiving yards by a player in his first six seasons in NFL history.
• With eight receptions on Sunday, Jefferson can surpass Jarvis Landry(564 receptions) for the most receptions by a player in his first six seasons.
• The players with the most receptions in his first six seasons:

• CEEDEE LAMB
• Dallas wide receiver CeeDee Lambhas 547 receptions, 7,083 receiving yards and 41 touchdown receptions since entering the NFL in 2020.
• With three receptions on Thursday Night Footballat Detroit (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video), Lamb can become the second player in NFL history with at least 550 receptions and 7,000 receiving yards through their first six career seasons, joining Justin Jefferson (557 receptions for 8,231 yards; currently in sixth season).
• EVAN ENGRAM
• Denver tight end Evan Engramhas 38 receptions this season. Engram has at least 40 receptions in each season since entering the NFL in 2017.
• With two receptions on Sunday at Las Vegas (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS), Engram can join Jeremy Shockeyas the only tight ends all-time with at least 40 receptions in each of their first nine career seasons.
• TREY MCBRIDE
• Arizona tight end Trey McBrideleads the NFL with 88 receptions and leads all tight ends with 879 receiving yards this season.
• With 11 receptions on Sunday against the Los Angeles Rams (4:25 p.m. ET, FOX), McBride can surpass Zach Ertz(98 receptions in 2018 with Philadelphia) for the most receptions by a tight end in his team’s first 13 games of a season in NFL history.
• The tight ends with the most receptions through his team’s first 13 games of a season in NFL history:

• Additionally, McBride can join Travis Kelce(three seasons) as the only tight ends all-time with multiple career seasons with at least 100 receptions.
• TRAVIS KELCE
• Kansas City tight end Travis Kelceranks second among tight ends with 719 receiving yards this season.
• With 81 receiving yards on Sunday Night Footballagainst Houston (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), Kelce can join Pro Football Hall of Famer Jerry Rice as the only players in NFL history with at least 800 receiving yards in 12 consecutive seasons.
• MYLES GARRETT
• Cleveland defensive end Myles Garrettleads the league with 19 sacks this season and ranks first in the NFL with 121.5 sacks since entering the league in 2017.
• With a half sack on Sunday against Tennessee (1 p.m. ET, FOX), Garrett can surpass Aldon Smith(19.5 sacks in 2012) for the second-most sacks by a player in his first 13 games of a season since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic. Only Pro Football Hall of Famer Reggie White (21 sacks in 1987) has more.
• J. WATT
• Pittsburgh linebacker J. Watthas 115 career sacks, the second-most in the NFL since entering the league in 2017.
• With at least two sacks on Sunday at Baltimore (1 p.m. ET, CBS), Watt can surpass Pro Football Hall of Famer Jared Allen(117 sacks) and DeMarcus Ware (117) for the third-most sacks by a player in his first nine seasons since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic. Only Pro Football Hall of Famer Reggie White (137 sacks) and Myles Garrett (121.5, in ninth season) have more.
• NAHSHON WRIGHT
• Chicago defensive back Nahshon Wrighthas a takeaway in five-consecutive games – fumble recoveries in Weeks 10 and 13 and an interception in Weeks 9, 11 and 12.
• With a takeaway on Sunday at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. ET, FOX), Wright can become the sixth player since 2000 with a takeaway in at least six consecutive games, joining C. Jackson(seven consecutive games in 2020 with New England), Trevon Diggs (six in 2021 in Dallas), Pro Football Hall of Famer Charles Woodson (six in 2006 with Green Bay), Brian Russell (six in 2003 with Minnesota) and Doug Evans (six in 2001 with Carolina).
• The players with the most consecutive games with a takeaway since 2000:

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